4/21-22 (KEE): Bewitch S. (G3); Elkhorn (G2)

[Kasept]

8th (4:35) Grey Goose Bewitch S. (G3)

1 1/2 Miles (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $150,000

1 1 Nehantic Kat Castellano J J Tagg Barclay 118 LA 4-1
2 2 A She's Adorable Hernandez B J Jr Stidham Michael 118 LA 8-1
3 3 Sweet and Flawless Alvarado J Reed Eric R 118 LA 12-1
4 4 Floating Heart Talamo J Pletcher Todd A 118 LA 3-1
5 5 Magical Theater Maragh R Arnold George R II 118 LA 8-1
6 6 Changing Skies (IRE) Desormeaux K J Mott William I 122 LA 3-1
7 7 Lady Shakespeare Velazquez J R Attfield Roger L 118 LA 5-2

Double-Exacta-Trifecta ($.50 min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)

[Kasept]

FRIDAY 9th (5:05) Fifth Third Elkhorn S. (G2)

1 1/2 Miles (Turf) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $200,000

1 Tiger's Rock Gomez G K 118 LA
2 Timeless Fashion Lopez J 118 LA
3 Sudden War (ARG) Solis A 118 LA
4 Bearpath Lenclud F 120 L
5 Expansion Leparoux J R 122 LA
6 Musketier (GER) Velazquez J R 118 LA
7 Transduction Gold Mena M 118 L
8 Pick Six Sellers S J 118 LA
9 Ascertain (IRE) Hernandez B J Jr 118 L
10 Blushing Bear Bridgmohan S X 118 L
11 Brass Hat Borel C H 118 L
12 Demarcation Castellano J J 118 LA

[randallscott35]

FRIDAY 9th (5:05) Fifth Third Elkhorn S. (G2)

1 1/2 Miles (Turf) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $200,000

1 Tiger's Rock Gomez G K 118 LA
2 Timeless Fashion Lopez J 118 LA
3 Sudden War (ARG) Solis A 118 LA
4 Bearpath Lenclud F 120 L
5 Expansion Leparoux J R 122 LA
6 Musketier (GER) Velazquez J R 118 LA
7 Transduction Gold Mena M 118 L
8 Pick Six Sellers S J 118 LA
9 Ascertain (IRE) Hernandez B J Jr 118 L
10 Blushing Bear Bridgmohan S X 118 L
11 Brass Hat Borel C H 118 L
12 Demarcation Castellano J J 118 LA


Sudden War may be able to steal this.

[randallscott35]

Speed of the speed. Especially coming from Cali turf.

[ateamstupid]

Speed of the speed.

Notoriously valuable angle for 12-furlong turf races.

[randallscott35]

Notoriously valuable angle for 12-furlong turf races.

The way KEE turf has been playing? Possibly.

[booner]

I'm keeping an eye on Pick Six. I have a feeling he's ready for a big run.

[randallscott35]

I'm keeping an eye on Pick Six. I have a feeling he's ready for a big run.

He ran the fastest last out fig, I doubt that will be lost on the bettors but maybe...it is a large field.

[randallscott35]

I think your way way off on this race. I dont think he is the speed of the speed, but good luck.
I would almost be willing to bet he does not even make the early lead.

Ok.

[NTamm1215]

The way KEE turf has been playing? Possibly.

The Keeneland turf has been playing to speed? There hasn't been a wire to wire winner in a week and only two races between last weekend and yesterday went to a horse that was 1st or 2nd at the pace call.

NT

[hockey2315]

I might bet Sudden War, but I don't see the "speed-of-the-speed" thing either.

[randallscott35]

The Keeneland turf has been playing to speed? There hasn't been a wire to wire winner in a week and only two races between last weekend and yesterday went to a horse that was 1st or 2nd at the pace call.

NT

Wire to wire and playing to speed are two different things. For the totality of the meet I would say it has been much kinder to front running horses than closers.

[randallscott35]

I might bet Sudden War, but I don't see the "speed-of-the-speed" thing either.

Timeless fashion may be sent but his race on the KEE turf at 12 furlongs was forwardly placed but hardly winging it....I like Sudden War's pattern and price.

[NTamm1215]

Wire to wire and playing to speed are two different things. For the totality of the meet I would say it has been much kinder to front running horses than closers.

Thanks for the distinction. I think it's been a fair course.

NT

[randallscott35]

Price? He is the third choice ML, with Mcpeek and coming out of 2 Cali graded stakes I could see him being the chalk.... I dont get the price appeal either. I dont get this horse at all, what was his excuse 2 back when he got away with 49.4-1.15-2.05.2 and was basicley destroyed late?

When someone likes a horse why do you think that person is trying to convince you? I don't give a **** who you like or dislike. In a 12 horse field there are plenty of places to bet. Find one.

[randallscott35]

I dont, but you have given 3 reassons for liking this horse and 2 of them are just stupid, and false..... Speed and price appeal? He wont be on the lead and you will be lucky to get 5-1.

I didn't realize 6-1 was a terrible price if you like a horse....and if 12 horses go he will be that or higher I would think. If he's 3-1 I surely like him less. We'll see.

[booner]

FWIW, in the last 32 races run at 1.5 miles on the Keeneland turf, one horse has wired the field. During that same span, 7 horses that led the race for 1.25 miles or entering the stretch finished second.

[knickslions2]

Price? He is the third choice ML, with Mcpeek and coming out of 2 Cali graded stakes I could see him being the chalk.... I dont get the price appeal either. I dont get this horse at all, what was his excuse 2 back when he got away with 49.4-1.15-2.05.2 and was basicley destroyed late?

Most likely Sudden War will end up being the favorite. I take my chances with Expansion.

[booner]

I don't like Tiger's Rock, but I do like Expansion. He will be in my play somewhere.

[randallscott35]

Was Expansion a private purchase? Surprised by the trainer change a few back.

[booner]

Good question. Wonder who would know?

[Gaining Ground]

Was Expansion a private purchase? Surprised by the trainer change a few back.

just a trainer change. the west's cut ties with mclaughlin and chad brown got some of the horses.

[hockey2315]

Not a private purchase. . . They have a lot of horses w/ Brown - not sure if they have any more w/ KMc.

[randallscott35]

just a trainer change. the west's cut ties with mclaughlin and chad brown got some of the horses.

Thank you

[MisterB]

Still waiting for an answer.

MCK had over 100 horses, and was making room for more of the shieks flesh. West didn't sever ties, this was MCK's decision.

[Gaining Ground]

MCK had over 100 horses, and was making room for more of the shieks flesh. West didn't sever ties, this was MCK's decision.

that isnt the way i heard it went down, but it doesnt really matter

[randallscott35]

Nice run by the other Musket man and good ole Brass Hat always gives his all. The 2 went, but the 3 had nothing anyway. Quite an early move by Pick 6 in there.

[philcski]

Nice run by the other Musket man and good ole Brass Hat always gives his all. The 2 went, but the 3 had nothing anyway. Quite an early move by Pick 6 in there.

Pick Six is the definition of a hanger. I'm done with that rat.

You could argue that Musketier probably should have gone favored in there (or close to it) yet gets sent off at 7-1... which again shows the value of >=12 horse fields.

[booner]

Same here. The big move on the backstretch came 1/2 mile too early.

[ninetoone]

Brass Hat is the man! Love him...game 2nd.