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View Full Version : BC day 1: "If _____ wins, I am going to have a good day."


tector
11-06-2009, 06:54 AM
OK, fill in the blank. If you pick some 7-5 shot, you are a chalk eating weasel and are probably mistaken anyway.

I'll go first: "Sara Louise". I expect to get 5-1 on her and can especially leverage that in multi-race bets, because many people are only going 1 or 2 deep here.

johnny pinwheel
11-06-2009, 06:58 AM
if cloudys knight wins today or quality road wins tommorrow, i will have a good weekend. no chalk eater here.

Rudeboyelvis
11-06-2009, 07:01 AM
I agree with Cloudy's Knight - am using and to see one of my all time favorite Tampa jockeys (and only the 2nd female, the first being Julie Crone) win a BC race would make my weekend.

jwkniska
11-06-2009, 07:16 AM
She Be Wild in the Juvy Fillies today or Einstein in the Classic tomorrow.

Slewbopper
11-06-2009, 07:18 AM
If Desert Code wins I am going to have a good day. He won this race last year at 36/1 and is coming into this race with an identical uninspiring prep in the Morvich at OSA

Slewbopper
11-06-2009, 07:19 AM
She Be Wild in the Juvy Fillies today or Einstein in the Classic tomorrow.
I like her too.

2Hot4TV
11-06-2009, 07:38 AM
If Desert Code wins I am going to have a good day. He won this race last year at 36/1 and is coming into this race with an identical uninspiring prep in the Morvich at OSA
Coolest barn in the NATION and the jock is too. No way Jose. Save your money. Things just fell apart last year and Mig looked up and found the wire.

Chalky
11-06-2009, 08:09 AM
If Elusive Galaxy or Rose Catherine can outrun Lillie Langtry, I have a good day.

Of course, every diet needs a LITTLE chalk, so Ventura over Informed Decision should be a solid exacta play....

Good luck everyone!!!

arizonadave
11-06-2009, 08:12 AM
if La Nez wins the 4th at SA on friday. horse has done nothing wrong and trainer is on fire at SA. the price will be good.

Sightseek
11-06-2009, 08:13 AM
Lethal Heat

DaTruth
11-06-2009, 08:16 AM
Zilva and Life Is Sweet. Won't complain if Evita Argentina or Silver Swallow clunks up for second or third.

mclem0822
11-06-2009, 08:18 AM
Tapitsfly

Travis Stone
11-06-2009, 08:19 AM
Biofuel

Gander
11-06-2009, 08:25 AM
Coolest barn in the NATION and the jock is too. No way Jose. Save your money. Things just fell apart last year and Mig looked up and found the wire.

I agree...there is just not the kind of pace in this lineup that was in here last year. I would avoid all the closers in here, most notably Diamondrella who may go off favored in here. That said, Desert Code isnt really a closer. He has only closed once in his life and it just happened to be last year. I dont see lightning striking twice.

cakes44
11-06-2009, 08:34 AM
Cocoa Beach

opusone
11-06-2009, 08:40 AM
Evita Argentina

3kings
11-06-2009, 08:44 AM
Beautician and Rainbow View (who I think will go off much higher than 6-1 unless the Euro's are winning every race).

Mike
11-06-2009, 08:46 AM
Let me change the fun a bit by saying: If RadioHead and Vale of York are the top two in the Juvenile on Saturday, I'll have a nice exacta box payoff:)

hockey2315
11-06-2009, 08:47 AM
If Tapitsfly isn't bet as hard as I'm afraid she will be then I'll have a good day.

Mike
11-06-2009, 08:49 AM
Beautician and Rainbow View (who I think will go off much higher than 6-1 unless the Euro's are winning every race).


Good point. Early results(the Marathon is the 1st BC race:( ) will obviously effect the betting.

A bunch of USA upsets today would bring better rewards on the Euro's tomorrow

Travis Stone
11-06-2009, 08:51 AM
If Tapitsfly isn't bet as hard as I'm afraid she will be then I'll have a good day.

Everyone one seems to be talking about her...

slotdirt
11-06-2009, 09:05 AM
Even I am talking about her.

VOL JACK
11-06-2009, 09:07 AM
Biofuel

Im with you.
I think we will get close to double the ML of 15-1, because of her post.

RockHardTen1985
11-06-2009, 09:11 AM
Ventura does not win.

Life Is Sweet and Midday do win. I would have some sort of decent pick 3 if these things happen.

cakes44
11-06-2009, 09:14 AM
What the heck am i missing on this Tapitsfly?

wiphan
11-06-2009, 09:19 AM
La Nez
Dynaforce
Lethal heat

alysheba4
11-06-2009, 09:30 AM
What the heck am i missing on this Tapitsfly?....nothing, overhyped......

knickslions2
11-06-2009, 09:35 AM
Bridgetown

Travis Stone
11-06-2009, 09:37 AM
....nothing, overhyped......

Agreed...

PatCummings
11-06-2009, 09:41 AM
Today...If Biofuel and Rutherienne win - should be a great one.

Clip-Clop
11-06-2009, 09:44 AM
Lethal Heat today. Capt Candyman tomorrow.

Hickory Hill Hoff
11-06-2009, 11:34 AM
Man of Iron

dylbert
11-06-2009, 11:38 AM
Father Time - Midday - Proviso parlay

eajinabi
11-06-2009, 11:49 AM
Biofuel

Interesting pick. I saw her run in her last race and she won very convincingly, especialy for a horse who was 20-1. She did come off the pace to win and they were not going that fast up front for her to pass tiring horses. It will be a horse i will watching in the paddock for sure. Good Luck!

eajinabi
11-06-2009, 11:52 AM
On friday: Cherryblossommiss - 2nd race AOC
On sat: Cannonball

SundaySilence
11-06-2009, 11:58 AM
Biofuel,
JUNIA TEPZIA, LIFE IS SWEET

DJARUM
11-06-2009, 12:05 PM
" If I wins, I'm going to have a good day! But I'll try Mushka at a price and Smart Seattle.

Lava
11-06-2009, 12:05 PM
Junia Tepzia

booner
11-06-2009, 12:07 PM
Cloudy's Knight

booner
11-06-2009, 02:44 PM
Cloudy's Knight

Thank goodness I chickened out and bet win and place. Whew. :D

What a race. Good start to the championships!!

eajinabi
11-06-2009, 02:55 PM
Thank goodness I chickened out and bet win and place. Whew. :D

What a race. Good start to the championships!!

Nice pick but was all the best. Man of Iron had a dream trip. You can argue that homeister made a premature move and shifted outwards causing her to run more distance than she needed to. To her credit, she did outsmart dettori in that race but Man of Iron took advantage of the inside and stole it.

Glad that you still won some money!!

booner
11-06-2009, 03:09 PM
She wasn't happy in the post-race interview. Jeannie Edwards said she did what she wanted, but just got beat, and even muttered "a few explicatives".

Murtagh did right staying on the rail. If he comes out with Man Of Iron, it's Cloudy's Knight all the way.

Don't think I'm gonna play much more today, if at all. Had to travel the past 3 days (when I shoulda been preparing for BC), but all is good. Looking forward to tommorrow.

Good luck to you the rest of the day!

slotdirt
11-06-2009, 03:21 PM
Great effort by the (6) in the fourth...

eajinabi
11-06-2009, 03:22 PM
If Tapitsfly isn't bet as hard as I'm afraid she will be then I'll have a good day.

Merry Christmas!

Gander
11-06-2009, 03:26 PM
If Tapitsfly isn't bet as hard as I'm afraid she will be then I'll have a good day.

Nice!

slotdirt
11-06-2009, 03:26 PM
9-1 was a steal - she was down near 6-1 with 5 MTP.

eajinabi
11-06-2009, 03:28 PM
Tapitsfly

Nice Pick!!!! Albarado was very confident in is ride

SundaySilence
11-06-2009, 03:56 PM
Biofuel,
JUNIA TEPZIA, LIFE IS SWEET

Damn, I think Biofuel might have won, at least 2nd.

eajinabi
11-06-2009, 03:56 PM
Tough luck for Biofuel! If not bumped, the race would have been much much closer

slotdirt
11-06-2009, 03:59 PM
Do the payouts seem a little low in that race? I thought knocking out the favorites and getting 8-1 over 7-1 might pay better than $72 for a buck.

GPK
11-06-2009, 04:02 PM
Do the payouts seem a little low in that race? I thought knocking out the favorites and getting 8-1 over 7-1 might pay better than $72 for a buck.

I thought the same thing in the Juvy Filly Turf. 9-1 over 6-1 pays $76 with the 3-2 shot out

slotdirt
11-06-2009, 04:06 PM
I guess we're all wiseguys today.

Travis Stone
11-06-2009, 04:07 PM
Nice call on Tapitsfly!!!

Biofuel's rodeo-like stretch drive really stings.

mclem0822
11-06-2009, 04:19 PM
Nice Pick!!!! Albarado was very confident in is rideThanks, I thought she would absolutely love the turf. Caught the 10 cent super with her on top, paid $700+!:)

eajinabi
11-06-2009, 04:25 PM
Nice call on Tapitsfly!!!

Biofuel's rodeo-like stretch drive really stings.

The horse looked real good coming down the stretch and was almost certain that she would win it.

DaTruth
11-06-2009, 05:36 PM
The horse looked real good coming down the stretch and was almost certain that she would win it.

Zilva had a dream run until the stretch. Then she had absolutely nowhere to run when it was time to go. :(

booner
11-06-2009, 05:41 PM
Thanks, I thought she would absolutely love the turf. Caught the 10 cent super with her on top, paid $700+!:)

Nice score big guy! Very nice!! :$:

SundaySilence
11-06-2009, 05:50 PM
Biofuel,
JUNIA TEPZIA, LIFE IS SWEET


Life is Sweet !!!, what might have been if Maragh kept his mount straight in the Juv. Fillies for Biofuel.

eajinabi
11-06-2009, 05:54 PM
Life is Sweet !!!, what might have been if Maragh kept his mount straight in the Juv. Fillies for Biofuel.

Nice pick on Life is Sweet!! Tough beat on Biofuel who was much the best.

RockHardTen1985
11-06-2009, 05:57 PM
Ventura does not win.

Life Is Sweet and Midday do win. I would have some sort of decent pick 3 if these things happen.
:tro: :$:

Gander
11-06-2009, 07:27 PM
:tro: :$:

What was the take home on that? Congrats by the way. Hope you had it a few times.

RockHardTen1985
11-06-2009, 07:34 PM
What was the take home on that? Congrats by the way. Hope you had it a few times.

I hit the pick 3 on 2 seperate 1$ tickets... Nothing big. I made 3, 25$ win bets... Midday and Life Is Sweet... The other was Always A Princess. I bet out 165$... I have not even checked yet.

alysheba4
11-06-2009, 07:48 PM
....nothing, overhyped..........dumbass:zz:

johnny pinwheel
11-07-2009, 07:31 AM
Nice pick but was all the best. Man of Iron had a dream trip. You can argue that homeister made a premature move and shifted outwards causing her to run more distance than she needed to. To her credit, she did outsmart dettori in that race but Man of Iron took advantage of the inside and stole it.

Glad that you still won some money!!
yeah, she was worried about that favorite (mastery) and man of iron snuck by inside, which was how horses won most of the day. rosemary cost me the double with that ride. cloudys knight was my horse today but tapitsfly made my day anyway. midday and pure clan was a nice exacta. but if she wins that marathon, i would of cleaned up and had a great day, instead it was only good. now i can fire away today!!