5/20: Belmont (4th-9th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Trippi's Holiday 2-1: Wins with any advance; Has hanger look.. 5th
Best Value: #1a (POE) Caffre Cat 12-1: Note solid soggy turf debut.. 6th
Next Best: #7 Flip the Coin 6-1: Even debut; Karma pluses; Value and Ramon.. 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Twointheroom 4-1 2nd


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Brecciate 10-1: Red gelding seems to invite trouble lines.. 4th
Most Likely: #10 LATE SCR-RUN OFF
Next Best: #6 Woodrunner 7-2: Slight ML favorite no better than several here.. 3rd
Super Add: #8 Paul's Ace 8-1: Ritvo bay beat open for diploma; Lone speed? 10th

.10 SUPER SPOT PLAY: 8-9 with 6-8-9 with 6-7-8-9 with 5-6-7-8-9 (Post SCR): 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .10 = $4.80


6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

SCR #8 Fortyninegeorgest.

Best Value: #2 Gamblin Fever 12-1: Dangerous ground-saver under Jose.. WON
Most Likely: #3 W. C. Jones 7-2: Improved last out changing tactics.. 3rd
Next Best: #10 Burnished Copper 3-1: Career maiden posted poorly.. 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Cough Drop 5-1: $100k E. Mack purchase working OK for return.. 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Pinckney Hill 3-1: Proved sharp in debut score WON
Best Value: #9 Le Grand Cru 5-1: Fast on main and should like lawn stretchout.. 3rd
Next Best: #1a (POE) Echo in Eternity 4-1: Better half of solid Pletcher pair..


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD)

5-pack of sneakily well-matched missies..

Most Likely: #3 Flying Dixie 2-1: Looks best back one-turning on organic main.. WON
Next Best: #1 One Step Ahead 5-2: Won this level last; Back with tag.. 2nd
Best Value: #5 Halo Hollie 7-2: 2nd off long break; Beat stakes fillies when right.. 5th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (Super)

3-1 Frankel fave (#9 Marl) is no faster than many signed on; Looking elsewhere..

Most Likely: #3 Chinese Whisper 4-1: Takes precipitous drop under Gomez.. 2nd
Best Value: #10 Manhattan Star 6-1: Wire threat cutting off a panel.. 4th
Next Best: #8 Ballymoy 6-1: Bay took time graduating; Drowned v. ALW foes.. 9th
Super Add: #2 Snuckinandsnuckout 5-1: Obscurely bred gelding best turf sprinting.. 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

Going to try catch big numbers anywhere else and take stand in very difficult feature..

6: 2-3-5-7-10
7: 1-7-9
8: 3
9: 2-3-8-9-10

5x3x1x5 = $75

$1 Pick 4 (2/5,6,7,10/3/9) Paid $455.50


Good luck!
Steve

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

steve i give pp 3 cardiff road a punchers chance in the 5th mixed up with some of these before not sure if this one was turned out or hurt saratoga drills show some promise..should be in the mix late..

[Kasept]

steve i give pp 3 cardiff road a punchers chance in the 5th mixed up with some of these before not sure if this one was turned out or hurt saratoga drills show some promise..should be in the mix late..
If he's ready off the break.. why not? There's many here available for board hits or more. What's wrong with Kutais and Key Victory out of their April 26 race? They're 12-1 and 15-1 respectively... Tricky event, and I'm glad it's not in the late P4.

[Kasept]

Turns out the BEL 5th is the DRF "ROTD"...

http://www.drf.com/video/rod.html

[Mike]

Turns out the BEL 5th is the DRF "ROTD"...

http://www.drf.com/video/rod.html


I was just going to post it. I didn't realize they have a free race every day now. I use Bris pp's because they're free and I'm a small time bettor but avid horseplayer. I know the Beyer speed figs are superior, and I like the short commentaries underneath each horse's pp's.

This may compel me to start paying for some cards or individual races.

Here's the Barclay Tagg link for the free Bris version:
http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/briswatch.cgi/public/BarclayTagg/TAGG%20BARCLAY/9999/summary.html


Notice in this race how DRF and Bris diverge sharply on their "ratings" of turf pedigree of a few of the main contenders

[Mike]

13,14 and 15 are scratched in the 5th

I'll side with Snipe, and put Straight Story on my watch list

[Kasept]

BELMONT SCRATCHES/CHANGES

4

1 (poe) Kittys Wish Early


5

13 Straight Story Early
14 Karakorum Tornado Early
15 Beneath the Crown Early


6

1A Hangingonthefuture Early
8 Fortyninegeorgest. Early


7

2B Street Move Early
10 Unbridled's Heart Early

[the_fat_man]

Most Likely: #7 Pinckney Hill 3-1: Proved sharp in debut score


Could be a real nice turf horse.

[NTamm1215]

Could be a real nice turf horse.

1/2 brother of one of your favorite horses over the last few years.

NT

[Mike]

What's this my Twinspires page is telling me?

Belmont Park Changes for Wed May 20 2009
Track Conditions: Current Weather-Partly Cloudy 64 Degrees, Turf-Firm, Dirt-Easy

[the_fat_man]

1/2 brother of one of your favorite horses over the last few years.

NT

Looks like him too. Same thick neck and wild, full mane.

[Kasept]

Psst... The super secret horse that Nick and Fats are talking about is... English Colony!

[DJARUM]

Believe Mig rode him but, was hurt for his Breeder Cup win.

[DJARUM]

You're thinking of Artie Schiller.

Yeah, I was but that's not right.

[Mike]

Gamblin Fever in the 6th; Big Top in the 7th; skip to the 9th and tri key of Chinese Whisper over Marl and Moonshine Mania

[NTamm1215]

Psst... The super secret horse that Nick and Fats are talking about is... English Colony!

Ha...TFM and I both took a liking to him even though he had a variety of problems.

NT

[DJARUM]

Bring it home, Gl..............

[geeker2]

I'm on the Byk's P4 Train today! come on 2,3,8,9,10!

[philcski]

Great work Steve. Thanks for the 3 in the feature, was much the best!

P4 paid pretty well, and we've got a carryover to study for tomorrow.

[bahughes]

great job steve!!! :tro:

[dagolfer33]

Cant thank you enough, Steve.....used your picks as my framework for my play, the score is much appreciated. You are the pick 4 king!!!!!!!!

[pointman]

Nice job Steve! :$: :$:

[smuthg]

great job Steve!!!

[Kasept]

Thanks team! Square return.. :$: Glad some climbed aboard and hit...

Let's see if we can't catch 2 P3's tomorrow! ;) Carryover Pool $37,920..

[Rootdog1]

congrats on another....

[Heels1989]

Had to step out for a bit this afternoon and just saw the results of the final two. LOVE IT!!!. Great job once again Steve. I was very happy to jump on the SB P4 train again today. THANKS!!! :$: :$:

[pmacdaddy]

Rollin, rollin, rollin...

[moses]

I came on here before I left for the track today and somehow missed this thread. I'm an idiot.

[IrishofNDMan]

I keep saying to myself I am going to jump aboard for these pick 4's then I forget to, have to work, or do some stupid bets of my own. I think I'm gonna start playing Steve's pick 4 plays, like he said in one of his threads awhile back, you only need one good hit to make up for a few misses.

Great work Steve!

[ninetoone]

Nice job!

[atolunch]

Unbelievable run Steve, you are the man!!

Again, many thanks for sharing, and here's to keeping it rolling.

:$: :$: :tro:

[ARyan]

Steve Byk.....en fuego!!!