Kasept
04-04-2008, 07:41 AM
Thursday Aqueduct P6 and P4 tries were upended with 2nds in the 6th and 8th, but the rest of the day was outstanding capped by the day-making trifecta in the nightcap which was offered out 'straight'. How Del Carroll and Pont St. Stables' Key Victory was allowed to go off at 46-1 is a mystery, as he appeared to me the next most logical win candidate past the overdue and obvious winner. His $23.40 place price tripped the $603.00 ($2) triple when he passed After Colin (16-1, $7.20) in deep stretch.
Earlier in the 7th, Carlos Martin's Aunt Marge ($12.60), who I saw as a P6 single but the public embraced only modestly, started another nice triple crushing the Karakorum entry (3-2 fave) behind her with Schwartz' Sounds Tacky (11-1) third. The tri came back $144.00 ($2), and this was a spot where not offering superfectas everywhere they could be offered, hurts... Inclusion Ommadon's Storm was 4th, (for wagering purposes), at 43-1, and the payoff would have been enormous. The NYS Racing and Wagering Board refuses to allow NYRA to offer supers on all races that 'qualify' for them, and it just continues to boggle the mind as to why.
Hope you did well Thursday!
Keeneland starts its' three week Spring Meet today, and though the weather is expected to be nasty, it's always great to have KEE back in the PP's... Expect al grass races to be switched to the 'all-weather'...
KEENELAND
7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, Super)
OFF THE TURF
Most Likely: #4 Crystal Minuet 7-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Communique 9-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Brantley 6-1 6th
Exotics Add: #1 SCR (Substitute #12 Madame Brillon 10-1 2nd; #7 Ardnavagh 8-1 5th)
8th: OC/N$Y, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, Super)
BEST VALUE: #7 DARING JULIE 15-1 7th
Most Likely: #8 Kindling 7-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Girls Pearls 6-1 8th
Exotics Add: #3 You Go West Girl 2-1 WON
9th: 20th Transylvania (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)
OFF THE TURF...
Protecting #4 Prussian in P4, P3's..
Most Likely: #3 Barrier Reef 7-2 7th
Next Best: #1 Riley Tucker 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Budge Man 15-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #8 Free Fighter 4-1 5th
10th: ALW/N2L, 3yo, 7f ($1 Super Hi-5, .10 Super)
Most Likely: #11 Arizona 5-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Iron Works Pike 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 The Darp 9-2 8th
Hi 5 Adds: #9 Talk of a Cat 7-2 4th
<$50 Hi 5 Play: 11/7-8/4-7-8-9-12/4-7-8-9-12/4-7-8-9-12 (1x2x4x3x2 = $48)
<$50 P4 Play:
7: 3-4-[6-7]
8: 3-5-7-8
9: 1-3-4
10: 11 (7-8)
4x4x3x1 = $48 (Backup: 2x4x3x2 = $48; Full: 4x4x3x3 = $144)
Good luck!
Steve
Earlier in the 7th, Carlos Martin's Aunt Marge ($12.60), who I saw as a P6 single but the public embraced only modestly, started another nice triple crushing the Karakorum entry (3-2 fave) behind her with Schwartz' Sounds Tacky (11-1) third. The tri came back $144.00 ($2), and this was a spot where not offering superfectas everywhere they could be offered, hurts... Inclusion Ommadon's Storm was 4th, (for wagering purposes), at 43-1, and the payoff would have been enormous. The NYS Racing and Wagering Board refuses to allow NYRA to offer supers on all races that 'qualify' for them, and it just continues to boggle the mind as to why.
Hope you did well Thursday!
Keeneland starts its' three week Spring Meet today, and though the weather is expected to be nasty, it's always great to have KEE back in the PP's... Expect al grass races to be switched to the 'all-weather'...
KEENELAND
7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, Super)
OFF THE TURF
Most Likely: #4 Crystal Minuet 7-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Communique 9-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Brantley 6-1 6th
Exotics Add: #1 SCR (Substitute #12 Madame Brillon 10-1 2nd; #7 Ardnavagh 8-1 5th)
8th: OC/N$Y, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, Super)
BEST VALUE: #7 DARING JULIE 15-1 7th
Most Likely: #8 Kindling 7-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Girls Pearls 6-1 8th
Exotics Add: #3 You Go West Girl 2-1 WON
9th: 20th Transylvania (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)
OFF THE TURF...
Protecting #4 Prussian in P4, P3's..
Most Likely: #3 Barrier Reef 7-2 7th
Next Best: #1 Riley Tucker 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #6 Budge Man 15-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #8 Free Fighter 4-1 5th
10th: ALW/N2L, 3yo, 7f ($1 Super Hi-5, .10 Super)
Most Likely: #11 Arizona 5-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Iron Works Pike 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 The Darp 9-2 8th
Hi 5 Adds: #9 Talk of a Cat 7-2 4th
<$50 Hi 5 Play: 11/7-8/4-7-8-9-12/4-7-8-9-12/4-7-8-9-12 (1x2x4x3x2 = $48)
<$50 P4 Play:
7: 3-4-[6-7]
8: 3-5-7-8
9: 1-3-4
10: 11 (7-8)
4x4x3x1 = $48 (Backup: 2x4x3x2 = $48; Full: 4x4x3x3 = $144)
Good luck!
Steve