3/21: Aqueduct ($41k C/O)

[Kasept]

Intense 2 days with the oversize carries at AQU and SA resulting in $30k and $700k paydays for ticket hitters. Santa Anita's sextet Thursday ended up being relatively formful with but one truly tough horse to embrace, Rasgado in the 6th. Couldn't adjust selections yesterday, and effort came up a 'non-play' when second leg single Abby Cat scratched. But had 5 winners as no worse than third choice with other single Lethal Heat coming through in the feature. Was a fun card to attack. Hope you did well. Another C/O at AQU today!


AQUEDUCT


4th: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #1e Contessa entry 6-5 WON (SCR #1a Handsome Reward)
Best Value: #4 Honour Above Self 10-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Langley 5-1 6th
Exotics Add: #8 Here I Go Again 15-1 2nd


5th: CLM/N3L, 4+, 1m-70y (G/S, P3)

Standing against #3 Zip's Affair (5-2)..

Most Likely: #5 Road Not Traveled 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Wooden 9-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Wonforthegoodguys 3-1 7th
Exotics Add: #1 Love Lyndsey 15-1 5th


6th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P4, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Tiz the Moon 7-2 8th
Next Best: #4 Jule City 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Senora Roberta 5-1 WON
Exotics Add: #5 Fiddlers Fever 4-1 3rd


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 6f (P3)

Most Likely: #7 Two Turn Halo 5-1 WON
Best Value: #5 One Tough Belle 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Alyssa the Dancer 5-2 4th
Exotics Add: #6 Aegean Breeze 3-1 5th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #6 Sir Winston 9-2 3rd
Most Likely: #1e Contessa entry 7-2 4th/6th
Next Best: #5 Elusive Value 8-5 2nd


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Mr Park Avenue 2-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Noosa Cat 7-2 7th
Best Value: #3 Bumble 10-1 8th
Exotics Add: #2 Say Karakorum Sandy 6-1 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-4
5: 5
6: 2-4
7: 1-5-6-7
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-9

2x1x2x4x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4
7: 1-7
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-3-9

2x2x3x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Coach Pants]

I like the aggressive move in the 5th excluding the 3...

what has me a little confused is you're excluding the 2 and 4 who should be on or near the lead around the first turn.

Hard Iron was just a little over a length behind your top choice last out and it was his first route race in over a year. He seems to have his best races around two turns. Plus the jockey switch and drop in weight is an added bonus.

I've gotta play this horse at 8/1 or better.

[Gate Dancer]

Appreciate the info on Lethal Heat...........unreal down the stretch........looks to have a future going two turns............helped getting some spending money for the Saturday Turfway card!!

[Kasept]

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp

[Kasept]

Appreciate the info on Lethal Heat...........unreal down the stretch........looks to have a future going two turns............helped getting some spending money for the Saturday Turfway card!!
G/D,

You're quite welcome. Had the look of a standout to me. Couldn't play yesterday myself, so I'm glad someone took advantage! G/L this weekend..

SB

[docicu3]

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4
7: 1-7...5
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-3-9

2x3x3x4 = 64

Steve

Your begging for The #5 One Tough Belle in the 7th to break a very nice P4 play as Arroyo got a monster efforts out of her earlier in the meet at higher levels.

Who cares if you bump the cost of the ticket by 16 bucks if it adds a 14-16 dollar winner to the sequence. Your right she is the best value here today.

[Coach Pants]

Race 1
Double 1,6/4,6
WP 6

[dylbert]

<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-8
5: 3-5
6: 4
7: 1-3-6-7
8: 1-2-5
9: 1-9

$192 total

[Kasept]

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4
7: 1-7...5
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-3-9

2x3x3x4 = 64

Steve

Your begging for The #5 One Tough Belle in the 7th to break a very nice P4 play as Arroyo got a monster efforts out of her earlier in the meet at higher levels.

Who cares if you bump the cost of the ticket by 16 bucks if it adds a 14-16 dollar winner to the sequence. Your right she is the best value here today.
DD,

As always, the $50 budget is a guideline. The 5 would absolutely be a good addition to the play.. I really like Two Turn Halo though and am protecting with Kiaran's runner. Trying to be narrow there in favor of wide in that tough feature and quirky nightcap...

Good luck!

[Coach Pants]

Race 2
WP 6

[Payson Dave]

AQU Race 3

Ex 2,6/2,3,6

[fpsoxfan]

They really need to get to Belmont. They may as well re-name this phucking place to the Contessa Downs or something like that. There I feel better.
Thanks for listening.

[Coach Pants]

I like the aggressive move in the 5th excluding the 3...

what has me a little confused is you're excluding the 2 and 4 who should be on or near the lead around the first turn.

Hard Iron was just a little over a length behind your top choice last out and it was his first route race in over a year. He seems to have his best races around two turns. Plus the jockey switch and drop in weight is an added bonus.

I've gotta play this horse at 8/1 or better.
Still playing at 5/1

[Bigsmc]

<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4
7: 1-7...5
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-3-9

2x3x3x4 = 64


That's $72 Doc.

Glad you're a Doc and not a Math Professor.....:D

[pmacdaddy]

They really need to get to Belmont. They may as well re-name this phucking place to the Contessa Downs or something like that. There I feel better.
Thanks for listening.

Wed. April 30th. Counting down the days this year...

[fpsoxfan]

Still playing at 5/1
Looked good for a bit, but tough to beat the chalk today.

[pointman]

late pk 4:

6- 2,8
7- 1,5,6
8- 1,2,5
9- 2,9

Good luck!

[pointman]

Wed. April 30th. Counting down the days this year...


Can't wait to they get back to Belmont.

[Coach Pants]

Looked good for a bit, but tough to beat the chalk today.
Looks like it's a little windy today.

Oh well the place money was solid.

[Coach Pants]

Race 6

Small Across The Board Wager On Dynamic Kip

[Coach Pants]

The whole no gate speed thing kills that horse.

[Coach Pants]

Race 7
Pick 3
5,6/5/2,9

wp 5

[Coach Pants]

Race 8
ex 5/1,2
tri 5/1,2,6

[Coach Pants]

argghghgghg

[pointman]

late pk 4:

6- 2,8
7- 1,5,6
8- 1,2,5
9- 2,9

Good luck!


Wow, I blew $1,300 on this one. Toiled between including the 1 or 7 in the 7th and, of course, made the wrong choice. What a day for overlays, should have spent the extra $12 and put the 7 on the ticket. This one hurts. :mad:

[dylbert]

<$200 P6 Play:

4: 1-8
5: 3-5
6: 4 (ran second, pfft!)
7: 1-3-6-7
8: 1-2-5
9: 1-9

$192 totalWell, Mr. Five of Six strikes again! Consolation time... $270.00. Pick 3 returned tidy $668.00.

[Gaines2b]

Kasept's most likely and best value ran one-two for a $2 exacta= $56
I leave my desk for a while and forget to put a win bet on the winner. :eek:
nice job.

...aaaannd he told us TWICE!! :D

Thanks, Steve.

[ninetoone]

Steve,

Lethal Heat looked awesome again yesterday at SA on a different surface...believe that's her 3rd start in under a month & looked to do it pretty easily...and at 7-1 no less! BOOM!

One to watch...



G/D,

You're quite welcome. Had the look of a standout to me. Couldn't play yesterday myself, so I'm glad someone took advantage! G/L this weekend..

SB