Tampa Friday 03-07-08

[Bigsmc]

IMO

No chance they are on the turf today. It rained enough yesterday and the threat of rain today will surely scare them off today.

[Rudeboyelvis]

IMO

No chance they are on the turf today. It rained enough yesterday and the threat of rain today will surely scare them off today.

Agree- cap for off; also capping for the $37,046 P6 :D

[Rudeboyelvis]

IMO

No chance they are on the turf today. It rained enough yesterday and the threat of rain today will surely scare them off today.


Official: Good / Off

[Bigsmc]

Agree- cap for off; also capping for the $37,046 P6 :D

I'm looking for one more carry. No time today to cap the P6 the way it should be.

I'll be all over it tomorrow though.

[Bigsmc]

Official: Good / Off

Tampa Bay Downs Scratches

3/7/2008

Race # Horse # Name
1 3 Presidentialreview
3 12 Real Cozy Jet
5 1 Big Tex (POE)
5 7 Volcanic Force
6 1 Manchu Prince
6 3 Stag Dance
6 4 Grato Recuerdo (CHI)
6 6 No Tolerance
6 12 Greylock
6 13 Hots Is Hot
7 9 Jackson On Tour
9 8 Claudia's Flame
10 2 Inhonorofjohnnie
10 5 Nyarhini (GB)
10 6 Harmony Found
10 9 Starlet Sky
10 10 Green Door
11 3 Marky P
11 6 Salty 'n' Ruthless

[Rudeboyelvis]

Tampa Bay Downs Scratches

3/7/2008

Race # Horse # Name
1 3 Presidentialreview
3 12 Real Cozy Jet
5 1 Big Tex (POE)
5 7 Volcanic Force
6 1 Manchu Prince
6 3 Stag Dance
6 4 Grato Recuerdo (CHI)
6 6 No Tolerance
6 12 Greylock
6 13 Hots Is Hot
7 9 Jackson On Tour
9 8 Claudia's Flame
10 2 Inhonorofjohnnie
10 5 Nyarhini (GB)
10 6 Harmony Found
10 9 Starlet Sky
10 10 Green Door
11 3 Marky P
11 6 Salty 'n' Ruthless


This seriously changes the complexion of the late card - 14 ShipWatch draws in in the 6th and is a must use in the P6 imo especially with the scratch of No Tolerance who would have been a single for me :mad:

[Bigsmc]

Pick 4:

Race 8: Wide open affair....

8 - Mr. Flatter - Moves up slightly if it is sloppy.
2 - Flashy Wonder
6 - Gallant Lover
7 - Sir Diamond - If the pace is hot...and it should be.
*note: If it is sloppy, the 9 - Parisian Friend is another that will move up.*

Race 9:

5 - Carolina Belle - Kenneally outstanding 2nd off. This one got a tast last time out and will be better today.
6 - Moonshine Alice - Winging it.
9 - Red Pine - Coming around nicely for Zwiesler.

Race 10 Off the turf:

1 - Spirited Seacat - Needs a pace to run into. Dirt record way better than turf record.
7 - Taxability - May have been hoping for this one to come off.
8 - Wild Party Gal - The pace that Spirited Seacat needs.
3 - Phyl's Notebook - Ready for a good one.

Race 11: The firsters (normally a staple for me) are not that appealing here.

8 - Prospectorsbounty - Nice even 3rd after being fractious. A calmer post parade and gate experience makes this one ultra tough.
4 - Stephen's Trick - Gulfstream shipper will take all the money with Centeno aboard...beatable.
9 - King Palance - Another vulnerable GP shipper...this one has speed.

Small Ticket:

2,6,8/5,6/1,3,7,8/8,9 = $48

Big Ticket:

2,6,7,8,9/5,6,9/1,3,7,8/4,8,9 = $180

GL to all and watch those track conditions late.

[Bigsmc]

This seriously changes the complexion of the late card - 14 ShipWatch draws in in the 6th and is a must use in the P6 imo especially with the scratch of No Tolerance who would have been a single for me :mad:

You need to be taking a long look at singling Illini Nation in the 7th too....

*edit* I take that back. I'm can't recommend leaving Out in the Open off the ticket.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Race 6
14 Ship Watch(A) 2nd
7 Petesamassbred(B) WON
5 Miami Beat(C) 3rd

Race 7
5 Out in the Open(A) WON
3 Illini Nation (B) - Ya scared me Bigs :) 2nd

Race 8
6 Gallant Lover(A)
8 Mr. Flatter(A) WON
4 Decadent Man (B)
1 Hubbard (C) 3rd

Race 9
6 Moonshine Alice (A) WON
5 Carolina Belle(B) 2nd

Race 10
8 Wild Party Gal(A) 4th
7 Taxability(A) 1st - DQ'd to 3rd :(
1 Spirited Seacat(B) 2nd

Race 11

4 Stephen's Trick(A) WON
8 Prospectorsbounty(B)
1 Doctor Duke(B) 4th
9 King Palance(C) 3rd

P6 - All "A's", 1 or 2 "B's" and "A's", or 1 "C'" and "A's":


$2 AAAAAA 14 //5 //6,8 //6//7,8 //4 = $8
$2 BAAAAA 7 //5 //6,8 //6//7,8 //4 = $8
$2 ABAAAA 14 //3//6,8 //6//7,8 //4 = $8
$2 AABAAA 14 //5 //4 //6//7,8 //4 = $4
$2 AAABAA 14 //5 //6,8 //5 //7,8 //4 = $8
$2 AAAABA 14 //5 //6,8 //6// 1 //4 = $4
$2 AAAAAB 14 //5 //6,8 //6//7,8 //1,8 = $16
$2 CAAAAA 5 //5 //6,8 //6//7,8 //4 = $8
$2 AACAAA 14 //5 //1 //6//7,8 //4 = $4
$2 AAAAAC 14 //5 //6,8 //6//7,8 //9 = $8
$2 BBAAAA 7 //3//6,8 //6//7,8 //4 = $8
$2 BABAAA 7 //5 //4 //6//7,8 //4 = $4
$2 BAABAA 7 //5 //6,8 //5 //7,8 //4 = $8
$2 BAAABA 7 //5 //6,8 //6// 1 //4 = $4
$2 BAAAAB 7 //5 //6,8 //6//7,8 //1,8 = $16
$2 ABBAAA 14 //3//4 //6//7,8 //4 = $4
$2 ABABAA 14 //3//6,8 //5 //7,8 //4 = $8
$2 ABAABA 14 //3//6,8 //6// 1 //4 = $4
$2 ABAAAB 14 //3//6,8 //6//7,8 //1,8 = $16
$2 AABBAA 14 //5 //4 //5 //7,8 //4 = $4
$2 AABABA 14 //5 //4 //6// 1 //4 = $2
$2 AABAAB 14 //5 //4 //6//7,8 //1,8 = $8
$2 AAABBA 14 //5 //6,8 //5 // 1 //4 = $4
$2 AAABAB 14 //5 //6,8 //5 //7,8 //1,8 =$16
$2 AAAABB 14 //5 //6,8 //6// 1 //1,8 = $8

190.00

Pick 4:
4,6,8//5,6//1,7,8//1,4,8,9 = $72.00

[Rudeboyelvis]

You need to be taking a long look at singling Illini Nation in the 7th too....

*edit* I take that back. I'm can't recommend leaving Out in the Open off the ticket.

I've seen the 8* work in the morning - the horse is amazing...Wasn't in the position to claim him from Walter Durrett the first time he ran for a tag and painfully sorry I missed him - was hoping with all the scratches today one of these two would have gone, tenatively singled the 5 but may add the 3 as a B...

*Edit - meant the 5

[Bigsmc]

I've seen the 8 work in the morning - the horse is amazing...Wasn't in the position to claim him from Walter Durrett the first time he ran for a tag and painfully sorry I missed him - was hoping with all the scratches today one of these two would have gone, tenatively singled the 5 but may add the 3 as a B...

Definitely a move up in the connection department for him, I'm not a Durrett fan, although, I did play this one in his debut.

Handily or not, 35 flat at Calder is moving in the am for Illini Nation. If it gets sloppy, the dam was 3 for 8 on off tracks and her babies are 1 for 3....

I'm not trying to talk you into spending more money, just be careful...

[PSH]

This 3 year-old colt by Hennessy out of Chart Topper bought $150,000 last year at the Fasig Tipton 2 year old training sale in March. He worked out a good 10.2 for that sale. The workouts are excellent as already noted and in addition to the 35.0 he worked 5F in 1:01.4. My sense is that he can run....
The field he is facing is not much with the 5 horse the only one who has run that might challenge him. Would not expect 3-1 but hopefully 3-2. The only hesitation i have is if Rosie gets caught on him like she did on Amazing a similar first time starter that she got caught on the rail even though he was much the best a few weeks ago.... My sense is that he will go straight to the lead and from what i hear Rosie is better on the front end...

Straight exacta 3/5 and light exacta 5/3. Win bet on #3 if odds are above 3/2....

Best of luck,

PSH

[herkhorse]

race 5, pic 3: 2-3-4-8/2-5-7-14/3-5

[herkhorse]

giant pic 6 tic: 14/3-5/8/5-6/7/4-5

[GPK]

Illini's slow break cost him there. Not sure if he was gonna get to the winner, but the slow break didn't help at all.

Will be about 3/5 next out.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Didn't get to see it - I'll watch it tonight..In fact I got tied up in a lunch meeting and just got in to find out that I missed the 6th and getting my ticket in :( ...these are the ones that hit..lol

[Coach Pants]

Race 9
3 August Romance WPS

[Rudeboyelvis]

....just got in to find out that I missed the 6th and getting my ticket in :( ...these are the ones that hit..lol

Well almost...Taxability looked much the best coming into the stretch but bolts into the 1 after a right-handed crack on the asz by Villa-Gomez :rolleyes: gets taken down and the 4 gets put up...a fair number of live tickets as 6 for 6 six pays 2k, 40K in the pool...

[herkhorse]

Well almost...Taxability looked much the best coming into the stretch but bolts into the 1 after a right-handed crack on the asz by Villa-Gomez :rolleyes: gets taken down and the 4 gets put up...a fair number of live tickets as 6 for 6 six pays 2k, 40K in the pool...

Rude, I guess it's good you didn't get them in, would have been a tough beat. I really appreciate the post, especially with the visual of the A,B,C's etc. Very helpful-Thanks!

[Rudeboyelvis]

Rude, I guess it's good you didn't get them in, would have been a tough beat. I really appreciate the post, especially with the visual of the A,B,C's etc. Very helpful-Thanks!

Thanks Herk, I can only guess that HVG must have really laid into him, so hard that it spooked the s*** out of him and he bolted away...Glad I saved the 190.00, because as Bigs found out the hard way earlier in the meet, they don't pay a consol when someone hits it...had 3 5 of 6 tickets that would have been worth exactly nothing :confused: