PDA

View Full Version : Tampa Tuesday 3/4/08 P4


Rudeboyelvis
03-03-2008, 09:07 PM
Race 7
5 Two Spot Club – Won handily at the condition in Dec, slight cut back in distance can help 3rd
6 Remember Shirley – Centeno opts off the Ness horse??!! Probably a good reason 4th
7 Native Dress – 3 of 3 in the money at the distance – figures with these SCR
4 Photo Image – Ness; 32% on the cutback, 30% turf to dirt – can never leave him off a ticket WON
2 Another Month - Draws Rosemary on the late jock switch; should take to the cutback in distance; Nice bullet last week should have her tight and ready to pounce 2nd

Race 8
4 Tight Precision – Velez aboard again after the heatbreaker last time WON
8 Dixiana Darling – Joan Scott’s Meadowlake firster shows a ton in the morning 2nd
6 Omniti – Zayat/Mott/Centeno; no match for Moonshine Alice last time, better placed here 3rd
1 Lethal Quality – KOC first start from the McGauhey barn; certainly enjoys Tampa in the morning, watch out if the pace falls apart

Race 9 “The Hanging Rat” Stakes OFF the TURF - edit for off turf....
2 Beaufort 3rd
1 Jim’s Smokin Pinot - tough stretch run last, gutsy closer figures
4 Bachicho
7 Greycliff Exchange 2nd


Race 10
11 Go’ Xango – Craig Phillip can not screw this up – break out the champagne for his first victory of the meet (and I get to change my sig :D )
6 Sweet Notes – Lrl invader seems to have all the form, and the drop to 12.5 may be just the ticket SCR
12 Cruise to the Moon – Tough post, but not much here – 3rd off the layoff for Monte Thomas tried to menace in the slop last time, should be close the front by the stretch to watch CPF coming back to him
5 Fresh Call - pretty bad when a 22 time maiden is the best of the rest...goes to show how poor this field is

BIG - 2,4,5,6//1,4,6,8//1,2,4,7//5,11,12 = 192.00
Small - 4,5,6//1,4,6,8//1,2//5,11,12 = 72.00

docicu3
03-03-2008, 09:27 PM
On or off the turf for tomorrow guys?.....I guess the forcast has rain as a likely possibility.

The sequence doesn't look too bad until the "SPLAT" 10th race could have anyone winning!!

Race 7 6.5F Ladies

All the usual suspects have an entry but I am looking for the upset late with #7 Native Dress though #3 Remember Shirley and Centeno will also be coming late. Likely bronze to early speed #1 Itchy Toes and possibly #4 Photo Image for Mr Ness

Race 8 7F's MSW for fillies

I am going to favor the closers here after the ES in the form of #1 Lethal Quality and Mott's high priced Zayat entry #6 Omynti lead from the gate but look for Lynne Scarce to get her #3 Eventful Halo home with Rosie or #4 Tight Precision of Proctor's though deeper tickets would be wise in the P4 to use #8 Dixiana Darling as 18% first Sire Meadowlake is worth widening on multi's for a price

Race 9 THE AE Sweepstakes.....opinions are fragile til entries are known

But for now....#1 Jims Smokin #2 Beaufort and #9 Royal Wall Academy have my attention #10 Mr Seabra is my fourth unless 11,12 or 13 draw in......a tough bunch of coconuts!!

Race 10 6.5 F's 12.5 MCL or the" who am I going home with" sweepstakes??

In know particular order 4,6,10,11 and maybe 12 will be on my ticket. This race could be won by anyone....

Big Ticky.....1,3,4,6,7/1,3,4,6,8/1,2,7,9,10/4,6,10,11

Ittle bitty ticky....5,6,7/3,4,8,11/1,2,9/6,11/4,6,11

We will be reasonable about trimming these in the morning based on surface and AE's with goals for Big $200 and Little $100

Good Luck DT'ers

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 04:39 AM
So far, they are saying the rain may hold off until 5pm or so. The last turf race may be in trouble but the early ones should be fine.

Rudeboyelvis
03-04-2008, 11:40 AM
Tuesday, March 4, 2008

TRACK: Fast
TURF: Firm
Portable rail: at 0

Weather: Cloudy – mid 70’s

Pick 6 CARRYOVER: $18,828.38


RACE 1 #4-+2
Post Time 12:35

RACE 2 No Changes
Post Time 1:02

RACE 3 No Changes
Post Time 1:29

RACE 4 #8-Scratched(Carvajal)
Post Time 1:56

RACE 5 No Changes
Post Time 2:23

RACE 6 #2-+2 #3-1st Time Lasix
#4-+1 #5-+1 #8-1st Time Lasix
Post Time 2:50

RACE 7 #1-+1
#2-jockey R. Homeister Jr.
#7-Scratched(Native Dress)
Post Time 3:17

RACE 8 No Changes
Post Time 3:44

RACE 9 (Turf)
#11-Scratched(Green Turtle Cay)
#12-Scratched(Sumphin)
#13-Scratched(Hot Apple Cider)
#14-Scratched(Nount Nebo)
Post Time 4:11

RACE 10 #6-Scratched(Sweet Notes)
#7-+2
Post Time 4:38

tiggerv
03-04-2008, 11:46 AM
Just started looking at the finale and it has to be CPF day. He has the best horse in there.

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 11:53 AM
Rain is almost here, although it seems to be lightening up a bit. Proceed with caution regarding the track condition.

Rudeboyelvis
03-04-2008, 11:53 AM
So far, they are saying the rain may hold off until 5pm or so. The last turf race may be in trouble but the early ones should be fine.
It's on it's way - hope they call the 9th off the grass before the friggin P4 starts....They're sorta notorious for waiting until the last minute....:mad:

http://www.tbo.com/weather/radar/animatedradar.htm

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 12:01 PM
Spot play
Race 2
5 Parisian Cowboy wps

tiggerv
03-04-2008, 12:02 PM
The CPF pre-rain edition of the P4. If they are off the turf in the 9th or if it is super sloppy then I am not sure I will play at all.

R7: A) 5 B) 2,4,6
R8: A) 4,6,8
R9: A) 1,5,9 B) 2
R10: A) 4,5,11,12 B) 2,10

The all A ticket 2 times and backups for $2 is $306

3 of 4 actually paid $664.20 +$358.20

Rudeboyelvis
03-04-2008, 12:04 PM
Just started looking at the finale and it has to be CPF day. He has the best horse in there.

Tigger - this is not the first time he's managed to screw up a post time fave, but I agree. This field is so abismal and with the 6 scratching, leaves only him and the horse outside him in what should be an ugly match race..throw in a slightly off track and the fact that he only missed by 3 1/2 lengths last fron the 10 post over a sloppy track and, as scary as it sounds, might be a logical single :eek:

Time for a GPK intervention :D

EDIT: Fresh Call ran a career best 50 bsf over the off going @ Calder back in Oct...and the 12 showed up a bit in the slop last out... Wouldn't single CPF as the other 2 logical horses appear to be a bit more live if the track goes away...

tiggerv
03-04-2008, 12:08 PM
Tigger - this is not the first time he's managed to screw up a post time fave, but I agree. This field is so abismal and with the 6 scratching, leaves only him and the horse outside him in what should be an ugly match race..throw in a slightly off track and the fact that he only missed by 3 1/2 lengths last fron the 10 post over a sloppy track and, as scary as it sounds, might be a logical single :eek:

Time for a GPK intervention :D

That field is so unbelievably bad that I am spreading but if Centeno or Rosemary was on that horse he would probably be a single. That post position is doing him no favors though.

GPK
03-04-2008, 12:17 PM
Just downloaded the pp's...


Use CPF in the finale at your own risk. IMO...no way he gets it done here.

GPK
03-04-2008, 12:24 PM
Call me crazy, but I like Carbon Copy in this race for a price.

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 12:30 PM
Race 3
Stag Film WPS

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 12:31 PM
Call me crazy, but I like Carbon Copy in this race for a price.

You crazy.

GPK
03-04-2008, 12:34 PM
You crazy.


2nd @ 20-1:cool:

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 12:35 PM
Welp so much for spot plays. I love how the majority of races end up with three horses sorta together and then a big gap to the rest of the pack. It's beyond odd how they run there regardless of form.

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 12:39 PM
2nd @ 20-1:cool:

You still crazy.

GPK
03-04-2008, 12:40 PM
You still crazy.


good point...

GPK
03-04-2008, 12:47 PM
call me insane, but I like Fireburnin at a price.

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 12:48 PM
Raining pretty hard at my mansion, approx. 20 minutes north of the track.

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 12:52 PM
call me insane, but I like Fireburnin at a price.

You insan.....aw nevermind.

Line Euro wire to wire.

GPK
03-04-2008, 12:53 PM
You insan.....aw nevermind.

Line Euro wire to wire.


what about True Genius? Horse is about 23 years old and getting ready to start is 284th race.

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 12:55 PM
Race 4
Turntwo Win only

GPK
03-04-2008, 01:01 PM
You insan.....aw nevermind.

Line Euro wire to wire.


half way right...:D

good call bro.


9th race OFF the turf...

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 01:02 PM
what about True Genius? Horse is about 23 years old and getting ready to start is 284th race.

I predict he will run 4th.

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 01:02 PM
Good call Bigs.

My horse was in the grandstand.

GPK
03-04-2008, 01:03 PM
I predict he will run 4th.


GREAT CALL!!!!!!!!









































:rolleyes:

GPK
03-04-2008, 01:18 PM
last one for me

Bello Papa

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 01:23 PM
Race 5
tri 1/5,7,8/5,7,8

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 01:28 PM
Centeno is Bejarano East for me.

SUTOR
03-04-2008, 01:51 PM
$1 pick 3
race 6
6,8,10
5,6
1,4,8

$18

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 01:54 PM
$1 pick 3
race 6
6,8,10
5,6
1,4,8

$18

Welcome Sutor.

I played a:

6,8,10
4,5,6
4,6,8

$27 paid $31.40

GL

SUTOR
03-04-2008, 01:56 PM
Welcome Sutor.

I played a:

6,8,10
4,5,6
1,2,9

$27

GL


Thanks Good Luck to you too

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 02:09 PM
Thanks Good Luck to you too

We had the right idea in the 6th. The only horse that could beat the 6 was one of the firsters. Unfortunately neither was ready.

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 02:11 PM
Pick 4
6/4,6,8/7,9/4,11,12
$36

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 02:12 PM
Pick 4

4,5,6
4,6,8
1,2,9
2,4,11

$81

GL

tiggerv
03-04-2008, 02:27 PM
Cardoso screwed up the best horse there.

GPK
03-04-2008, 02:46 PM
Cardoso screwed up the best horse there.


Imagine that...


theres a good reason he is 5 for 65 at the meet.

tiggerv
03-04-2008, 02:48 PM
Imagine that...


theres a good reason he is 5 for 65 at the meet.

That's why I played backups. Wonder why Ritchie couldn't get a better jock.

GPK
03-04-2008, 02:50 PM
That's why I played backups. Wonder why Ritchie couldn't get a better jock.


Yeah...Rosie rides quite a bit for him. I thought it strange she opted off that one and was on the one for Waunsch that was scratched.

Rudeboyelvis
03-04-2008, 03:13 PM
updated my picks for off turf.... 4 Bachicho at a price :)

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 03:15 PM
Race 9
7 WP
Double 7/4,11,12

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 03:19 PM
That's just perfect.

tiggerv
03-04-2008, 03:19 PM
Lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololol

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 03:22 PM
Lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololololololololololololololololololololololololo lololol


Exactly.

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 03:23 PM
Heaven forbid they use the turf course.

Rudeboyelvis
03-04-2008, 03:26 PM
haven't had the pleasure of seeing this race, but tvg.com just spread the great news about a 186.00 horse blowing up my P4 ticket :(

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 03:27 PM
I HAVE to play against CPF here. I couldn't sleep at night if I didn't.

2 - Pyrite Beautiful win/place

ArlJim78
03-04-2008, 03:30 PM
haven't had the pleasure of seeing this race, but tvg.com just spread the great news about a 186.00 horse blowing up my P4 ticket :(
same here.
I went five deep in this leg and didn't hit the board.:mad:

Rudeboyelvis
03-04-2008, 03:34 PM
For anyone playing at home - 1 ticket, ( or 2 $1 tickets) live to the 10 (currently 6-1) for a 45,000.00 payout for a buck...2.00 payouts:

1 667.00
2 442.80
3 44593.00
4 44593.00
5 44371.20
7 1620.80

8 1350.80
9 826.00
10 89186.20
11 14839.60
12 29728.60

Rudeboyelvis
03-04-2008, 03:42 PM
I HAVE to play against CPF here. I couldn't sleep at night if I didn't.

2 - Pyrite Beautiful win/place

2 min to post CPF = 2-1 fav....C'mon Bigs, he can't go the WHOLE meet winless - can he??!! ;)

Coach Pants
03-04-2008, 03:47 PM
LOL

TitanSooner
03-04-2008, 03:49 PM
awesome

Rudeboyelvis
03-04-2008, 03:50 PM
I HAVE to play against CPF here. I couldn't sleep at night if I didn't.

2 - Pyrite Beautiful win/place

The Master of TBD!! Well played, sir. CPF continues this historic quest towards perfection :o

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 03:51 PM
03/04/08 Tampa Bay Downs 7 c $1.00 PK4 4-6 / 4,6,8 / 1,2,9 / 2,4,11 $81.00 $0.00 $664.20

Paid 3 of 4....


03/04/08 Tampa Bay Downs 10 c $5.00 WP 2 $10.00 $0.00 $94.50
03/04/08 Tampa Bay Downs 10 c $5.00 WP 2 $10.00 $0.00 $94.50

tiggerv
03-04-2008, 03:53 PM
I HAVE to play against CPF here. I couldn't sleep at night if I didn't.

2 - Pyrite Beautiful win/place

ROFL - Now that is JUSTICE!!!!

Great call Bigs....

3 of 4 actually paid $664.20

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMM!!!!!!!

ArlJim78
03-04-2008, 03:58 PM
same here.
I went five deep in this leg and didn't hit the board.:mad:
holy shiat! i cashed on 3 of 4!! i had five in the last leg so I received $1,107.
unbelieavable, i went from a totally po'd mood to sky high in three seconds.:D

I played a big ticket with the 4 singled
1 3 4 5 6 // 4 // 1 5 6 9 10 // 2 4 5 11 12

Rudeboyelvis
03-04-2008, 03:59 PM
holy shiat! i cashed on 3 of 4!! i had five in the last leg so I received $1,107.
unbelieavable, i went from a totally po'd mood to sky high in three seconds.:D
Nice!! congrats Jim!

tiggerv
03-04-2008, 04:00 PM
holy shiat! i cashed on 3 of 4!! i had five in the last leg so I received $1,107.
unbelieavable, i went from a totally po'd mood to sky high in three seconds.:D

Congrats Jim. I can't stop laughing for some reason. What a turn of events.

Bigsmc
03-04-2008, 04:01 PM
holy shiat! i cashed on 3 of 4!! i had five in the last leg so I received $1,107.
unbelieavable, i went from a totally po'd mood to sky high in three seconds.:D

I played a big ticket with the 4 singled
1 3 4 5 6 // 4 // 1 5 6 9 10 // 2 4 5 11 12

Awesome Jim, just plain awesome.

ArlJim78
03-04-2008, 04:01 PM
Congrats Jim. I can't stop laughing for some reason. What a turn of events.
I'm grinning from ear to ear. its rare to click to update your account and find a bunch more money than you were expecting!

ArlJim78
03-04-2008, 04:03 PM
Awesome Jim, just plain awesome.
same to you. because of the talk last week about first time starters I made sure to stick them in at Tampa.

we owe it all to that $186 horse.

herkhorse
03-04-2008, 05:54 PM
very cool- congratulations!

pmacdaddy
03-04-2008, 06:12 PM
Very nice on the 3 of 4!

GPK
03-05-2008, 06:01 AM
I HAVE to play against CPF here. I couldn't sleep at night if I didn't.

2 - Pyrite Beautiful win/place


Mike...it had to the the :37 work from the gate that made you play this one.

No 12,500MCL at TBD works like that.

Great call.

Bigsmc
03-05-2008, 01:45 PM
Mike...it had to the the :37 work from the gate that made you play this one.

No 12,500MCL at TBD works like that.

Great call.

You hit the nail on the head. That work showed me this horse has the speed to compete in that race. Once I saw that, the two slower longer works and shaky connections didn't deter me.