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View Full Version : 2/28: Aqueduct ($157k C/O)


Kasept
02-28-2008, 07:47 AM
Wednesday carry card proved out as tough as it looked with track giving it up readily to frontrunners for the better part of the day.. Inner appeared to relent somewhat late in the day as stalkers began to reach leaders, but those hoping to close at all had no chance. Aside from 3-2 Precious Too in the 5th, lone saver of afternoon came with $12.00 Vain Vixen in the 6th as Garcia took advantage of the bias and built an insurmountable lead.

$157,000 pot may be equally unattainable Thursday with 4 maiden claiming events part of the festivities, two of which are as dreadful as can be assembled.. But let's take a swing!


AQUEDUCT


POST-Scratches..


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #3 OMMADON'S STORM 2-1: Stinks, but frog with least worts.. WON
Next Best: #2b (POE) Cyber Storm 5-2: Less hopeless than most here.. DNF-Dumped Garcia!
Exotics Add: #1e Paraneck entry 5-1 3rd


5th: CLM/N1Y, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, G/S, Super)

Best Value: #4 Just Le Facts 30-1: Danger with speed if healthy.. 6th
Most Likely: #5 Again and Again 3-1: Takes drop; Faster than many here.. 2nd
Next Best: #2 Win With Beck 9-2: Better than these on back class.. 4th
Exotics Add: #1 Broad Acres 5-2: Can stalk and close if track allows.. WON


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, DD)

Most Likely: #2 OVERHEATED 1-1: Best of another bad bunch.. WON
Next Best: #3 Cadillac Red 5-2: Levine firster won't have to be much.. 3rd
Best Value: #1 New York Met 12-1: Mildly interesting on good-bad pattern.. 2nd (18-1!)
Exotics Add: #7 Formally Judith 6-1: Shows some a.m. zip..

$1 Exacta (2-1) $7.30
$1 Trifecta $10.75



7th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, Super)

Very tricky group with 4 droppers from MSW company and 7 stretching out..

Most Likely: #3 SCRATCHED
Next Best: ]#5 Doc N Roll 12-1: Tagg-Sackatoga-McMahon drops, working well..
Best Value: #6 Noosa Cat 3-1: Should prefer the two turn pace..
Exotics Add: #4 Fiddlers Dubai 15-1: Respect Bush; Gets class relief..


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Trophy Road 8-1: Slick OH-bred looks well-spotted.. WON
Most Likely: #2 Whistlin' 2-1: Chased perfect Bustin' Stones two back.. 2nd
Next Best: #1 Bill Place 3-1: Alternative should pace melt down..
Exotics Add: #7 My Golden Opinion 5-1 3rd

$1 Trifecta (4-2-7) $82.25
$2 Exacta (4-2) Paid $14.70


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #9 My Honey B 15-1
Most Likely: #4 Lookie Cookie 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #10 She's My Sunshine 6-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #1 Best Book 12-1 WON

$1 Trifecta (1-10-4) $151.75
$1 Exacta (1-10) $38.00


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-3
5: 1-2-4-5
6: 2-3
7: 5
8: 2-4
9: 4-9-10

2x4x2x1x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$100/<$50 P4 Plays:

6: 2-3
7: 2-4-5 (6-9-12)
8: 2-4
9: 1-4-9-10

2x6x2x4 = $96 (Drop 4-6-12 from 7th for $48 play)

$1 P4 (2/12/4/1) $833.50


Good luck!
Steve

NTamm1215
02-28-2008, 08:05 AM
Look at Steve throwing in Just Le Facts in the 5th who was eased two back and "broke down" last time. It is undeniable that the horse has speed and he showed it multiple times over the summer. What the hell has happened since then is beyond me but with the completely hapless Jose Bermudez in the saddle this guy is fighting an uphill battle.

Good luck!

NT

Kasept
02-28-2008, 08:19 AM
Look at Steve throwing in Just Le Facts in the 5th who was eased two back and "broke down" last time. It is undeniable that the horse has speed and he showed it multiple times over the summer. What the hell has happened since then is beyond me but with the completely hapless Jose Bermudez in the saddle this guy is fighting an uphill battle.

Good luck!

NT
Nick,

One of my favorite angles is 'eased' or 'vanned off'... Vanning is so frequently done as a precaution, and easings or pull-ups by anxious riders who think they 'heard something'... If the horse breezes back and has shown ability against the company they're in, I regularly pull the trigger and it's been profitable.

The horse in question has undeniable speed, and if sound, can pop this group on a track that is obviously kind up front. Totally precautionary posture in a tough race to figure out...

Kasept
02-28-2008, 10:17 AM
SCRATCHES

4TH
1A Baby Beanie Early

5TH
8 Bonus Size Early

7TH NOTE: #12 Patent Pending Tom MAKES the field (8-1).. Not hopeless either...
7 Bold Dreamer Early
11 Pay the Judge Early
13 Smarteralex Early
14 Tropical Dim Early

8TH
5 Silver Light Early

9TH
2 Lily Dilly Early
8 Premont Early



MISCELLANEOUS CHANGES

5TH
4 Just Le Facts 2 ALUMINUM PADS ON (Hmmm.. THAT'S encouraging.. :rolleyes:)

6TH
3 Cadillac Red GELDING

zippyneedsawin
02-28-2008, 10:20 AM
SCRATCHES

4TH
5TH
4 Just Le Facts 2 ALUMINUM PADS ON (Hmmm.. THAT'S encouraging.. :rolleyes:)

6TH
3 Cadillac Red GELDING


Are they giving him a head start? :D

Kasept
02-28-2008, 11:13 AM
#3 Double Standard now a scratch from the 7th... :(

Kasept
02-28-2008, 02:26 PM
7TH NOTE: #12 Patent Pending Tom MAKES the field (8-1).. Not hopeless either...
7 Bold Dreamer Early
11 Pay the Judge Early
13 Smarteralex Early
14 Tropical Dim Early



For once I actually was on top of a draw-in horse... Used in P4 but DIDN'T adjust my own P6 ticket to include... Arrrgh...

hoovesupsideyourhead
02-28-2008, 02:28 PM
For once I actually was on top of a draw-in horse... Used in P4 but DIDN'T adjust my own P6 ticket to include... Arrrgh...
ouch was going to change mine to inlude ..also ..doh!!good call steve

herkhorse
02-28-2008, 06:31 PM
Damn Steve, Didn't realize til just now how close you were to hitting the pic 6 also- crazy game sometimes. Now that I've had a bottle of wine I figured I'd thank you again for everything-and to get a mention on your show while listening to the last leg was a real treat for me and my family. Can't say enough good things about this site and ATR. This last year has been a great learning experience. I never thought there would be a day when I hit a 800.00+ pic 4 and forgot that I even played it! It kind of got lost in the excitement of the day. Your the best! Happy to be a small part of Dee Tee Stables-The best is yet to come!:cool:

p.s. the "vanned off" angle, learn something evey day on DT:D

blackthroatedwind
02-28-2008, 06:42 PM
Congrats on hitting the Pick-6. That's really great. Terrific job.

herkhorse
02-28-2008, 07:19 PM
Congrats on hitting the Pick-6. That's really great. Terrific job.


Thanks Andy,

Steve said on his show today that you were intrumental in starting these contests, so you were a big part of my success today. I have learned a ton by reading your posts on this site.

blackthroatedwind
02-28-2008, 07:32 PM
Too kind. You deserve all the credit for winning today.