2/17: Santa Anita ($420k C/O)

[Kasept]

Exciting afternoon Saturday with $15k Magna 5 score from Derby Trailer 'tiggerv' on skien that didn't produce huge prices, but was treacherous nonetheless.

Leg A---Golden Dawn ($10.00), Laurel Park 10th
Leg B---D. Double You ($8.80), Santa Anita Park 4th
Leg C---Shes All Etish ($10.00), Gulfstream Park 9th
Leg D---Mananan McLir ($8.00), Santa Anita Park 5th
Leg E---Motorcycle Tom ($9.40), Gulfstream Park 10th

Golden Dawn upset my own single of Control System, but the other solid possible single Mananan McLir came through at Santa Anita to help those that went we him. 68 winners split a pool of just under $1,000,000.

Tampa's Derby Preview Day was strong with Zito's Fierce Wind stepping forward off his GP form to win the Sam F. Davis topping Big Truck, in a solid rebound, and Smooth Air, an OK, persevering third. Dreaming of Anna made her 4 year old debut successful with a gutty front end win in the Gr. III Endeavour, and Tom Albertrani looks like he has a good filly in Suncoast winner Vaulcluse.

At Santa Anita, a $90k+ carryover swelled to $420k for Sunday with the $100.00+ winner of the nightcap tipping the scales into another tough six pack of races which I hope to decipher below with pool likely to aopproach $3,000,000...

Hope you did well Saturday.


SANTA ANITA

NOTE: PRE-SCRATCHES/CHANGES.. TRAVEL DAY WITH NO CHANCE TO ADJUST SELECTIONS..

5th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Red Door Drive 6-1: Was OK 1st turf route at HOL..
Most Likely: #9 Art House 5-1: Sadler choses lawn; Has faced toughies..
Next Best: #10 Come in Almighty 7-2
Exotics Add: #1 Great Siege 9-2


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #11 Schaghticoke Hill 10-1: Adds blinks 2nd off break..
Most Likely: #13 Sexy Soldier 2-1: Wheels back in 96 hours; Drops..
Next Best: #14 Ambitious Angel 5-1
Exotics Add: #6 Soaring Lauren 10-1


7th: S/ALW, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 Veils de Fleur 9-2: Consistently close these events..
Most Likely: #1 Justice is Brief 4-1: O'Neill miss owns placement this course.. 3rd
Next Best: #7 Christiana's Heat 5-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #8 Swinger Doll 3-1 WON


8th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Sorcerors Spell 6-1: Exits GG ALW; 1st tag try in ages; 3rd/break.. WON
Most Likely: #7 Wheaton Hall 9-2: Tactical Sadler red working well for spot..
Next Best: #1e Carava entry 4-1
Exotics Add: #5 Kamsack 10-1


9th: 5th Daytona H., 4+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Zoning In 12-1: Value off DH win (Battle Won) this strip..
Most Likely: #9 Notional 5-2: Tricky spot for return; Gets Gomez..
Next Best: #2 Night Chapter 8-1
Exotics Add: #6 Battle Won 6-1


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 6.5f (Super High 5)

Best Value: #6 After the Storm 6-1: Drops down; Cuts bac; T2D; Triple whammy..
Most Likely: #12 Stormy Taters 7-2: Snared by Hess in debut 2nd behind repeater..
Next Best: #11 Madame Kiawah 5-1 WON
Exotics Add: #8 Topper's Treasure 6-12nd
High 5 Adds: #2 Lullaby Time 12-1 3rd; #10 Charlie's Trio 12-1


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 9
6: 11-13-14
7: 1-6
8: 1-3-7
9: 9-10
10: 6-12

1x3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-6-7
8: 1-3-7
9: 1-2-6-9-10
10: 6

3x3x5x1 = $45


Good luck!
Steve

[jms62]

I had written off Big Truck as being simply a good New York Bred with limited Open capabilities. He showed me something yesterday.

[Kasept]

I had written off Big Truck as being simply a good New York Bred with limited Open capabilities. He showed me something yesterday.
jms,

Agreed.. Was really thinking that Tagg had just overstated the horse's potential. He carried on last summer about him extensively, (for Tagg anyway), and when he was ordinary in the Remsen and dreadful in the Hutch, it seemed like there just wasn't much there. He's a great horseman though, and if he thought the colt had talent, we probably should have just trusted his judgement. Cost me the VERY generous tri yesterday as I left him out...

[jms62]

I was at Toga for his Very Impressive maiden win and very memorable race call "Big Truck Rollllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllssssssss". Are you as dissapointed in Z-Humors performance as I was.

[Kasept]

I was at Toga for his Very Impressive maiden win and very memorable race call "Big Truck Rollllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllssssssss". Are you as dissapointed in Z-Humors performance as I was.
No.. As I mentioned in the blurb, I doubt whether Mott really was looking for much. He gave him a full month, five weeks in fact, off the Jackpot, and only gave him a half mile and three moderate 5f breezes after that. A race is worth 5 workouts, and since he's already a GSW and multiple GSP, there's no harm in an ordinary performance in a listed stake. Tampa is famous as a place where horses leave fitter than they arrived. If he's blah next time, I'd get concerned.

He has to 'get faster' yet too, so I'd look for Mott to begin to try to sharpen his speed this next period before the FL Derby or whatever he's pointed toward. May end up as too slow when it's all said and done, but being out of an AP Indy mare, he should continue to improve with maturity and added distance.

(As a proviso on all this, the one thing that I wondered about with Z Humor from the get-go was the $240k KEE price. That said something wasn't 100% with him as a yearling since the DistHumor's average had to be twice that and his fee is $300k. Hope it doesn't turn out that Mott has already gotten what he can from him.)

[philcski]

jms,

Agreed.. Was really thinking that Tagg had just overstated the horse's potential. He carried on last summer about him extensively, (for Tagg anyway), and when he was ordinary in the Remsen and dreadful in the Hutch, it seemed like there just wasn't much there. He's a great horseman though, and if he thought the colt had talent, we probably should have just trusted his judgement. Cost me the VERY generous tri yesterday as I left him out...

Same... had played a heavy Fierce Wind/Smooth Air box and felt pretty sick when Big Truck (a horse I had been on for a while) split them for a $348 tri...

[pointman]

Steve, going to give the pk4 another shot today, playing with pmac. Honestly have nothing better to do and I love it. Good luck today.

[tiggerv]

Hate this card. With backups I would be over a grand in tickets and that might only buy me 3 of 6 so I will just play my main and hope to get lucky.

R5-9
R6-6,11,13,14
R7-1,5,6
R8-7
R9-1,2,6,9
R10-6,12

$192

[Kasept]

Please click one of the Quick Reply icons in the posts above to activate Quick Reply.

[Scav]

5: 1,9
6: 13,14
7: 5,6,7,8
8: 2,3,7,8
9: 5,6,10,12
10: 9,11

[Coach Pants]

I can't figure out why Great Seige is 2-1. We are talking about a 1 for 30 trainer. The horse will have to be lengths better than this field to win in a photo.

[tiggerv]

I can't figure out why Great Seige is 2-1. We are talking about a 1 for 30 trainer. The horse will have to be lengths better than this field to win in a photo.

Totally agree. He would be no better than 5th on my ticket.

Now watch him draw off.

[Scav]

Please click one of the Quick Reply icons in the posts above to activate Quick Reply.

???

[Scav]

5: 1,9
6: 13,14
7: 5,6,7,8
8: 2,3,7,8
9: 5,6,10,12
10: 9,11

glad I don't :)

[outofthebox]

Found the 6 way to difficult to play today. So just trying my hand on the 300k pick 4., which i also found difficult..

1-3-5-6-8
4-6
1-2
2-3-8-12
$80

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Would love a carryover,but I think the favorite will take it.Just 2 horses covered(3 and 12.)If somebody goes with the chalk,then there is a shot,but if they just let the 12 go,I doubt they run her down.TOPPERS HORSE IS GOOD ENOUGH To catch in the middle of the race,but not sure it can finish race with Enriquez.Kind of a 5 1/2 f horse. Needs a good ride(come on idiot..Enriquez.)

[SCUDSBROTHER]

:D :D :D :D How can she not be close up? LOL...WOW..THANKS, CHANTAL


$1,269,223.26 carryover

[tiggerv]

Scuds you want to go tomorrow and pick me up a trash can :)

[GPK]

Scuds you want to go tomorrow and pick me up a trash can :)



Yeah...get me one too....make sure Blanc signs it.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Isn't that special?Just doesn't match my interior.Looks like it would be good for trailers.

[Scav]

I would also like a trash can.

Scuds, we haven't had a burner like this one in a while. Can't wait to hear what you are thinking

[Scav]

Scudzie,

This thing is RIGHT up your alley. Last race isn't a Md Claimer with 15 horses, and the 10k claimer they always throw in these only has 8 horses. I haven't looked at it yet but it looks extremely playable for tickets in the $600 to $1000 range

[SCUDSBROTHER]

I just can't believe that, with a million dollar carryover, Cedeno has a morning line favorite,and a morning line 2nd favorite.

[tiggerv]

Just started looking at it and it's much more playable than today was.

[Scav]

I just can't believe that, with a million dollar carryover, Cedeno has a morning line favorite,and a morning line 2nd favorite.

LOL...He wins both it might carry again :)

[SCUDSBROTHER]

LOL...He wins both it might carry again :)

Ain't gunna carry anymore.People gunna be putting in what 25k-50k tickets Monday,right?

[Scav]

Ain't gunna carry anymore.People gunna be putting in what 25k-50k tickets Monday,right?

They are not betting 50k tickets guy.....There might be a couple people trying to sweep the pool with some 10k tickets.

There isn't a players pool from Bris going on....

[SCUDSBROTHER]

They are not betting 50k tickets guy.....There might be a couple people trying to sweep the pool with some 10k tickets.

There isn't a players pool from Bris going on....

It's gunna be hit.Took a retarded ride from that woman today,or we wouldn't get this chance.What a train wreck at the top of the stretch.