Tampa Tuesday 02-12-08

[Bigsmc]

pm rain in the forecast today. Not sure when it will start. I've handicapped for fast/firm because I looked at it last night and had no clue it was going to rain.

Race 7 - Hcp 16000s About 1 1/16 Turf

6 - Starlight Serenade - Ran a big one off a brief freshening against much tougher. Centeno off is not a huge concern here as he has gone over to his main man Ness. A repeat of his last will crush these.
5 - Sir Swervalot - Horse for the course with the Centeno/Ness magic. Rattled off several in a row last year in front running fashion.

Race 8 - Clm 16000 1 1/16 Dirt

3 - Prince Nick - Back to Gerald Bennett after a one race stay with DeMasi. Right back to his winning ways.
2 - Admiral's Arch - Drops to a level below his claim price. The all important Ness switch from Ramgeet to his go to guy.
1 - Big Tex - Looks to have the lead from the rail in a short field. Might not look back.

Race 9 - OC 32k/N2X Abt 5.0f Turf

1 - Bikini Atoll - The one to catch from the rail.
2 - Fast Hand - The gap between races are a bit of a concern for this one, but she ran huge in December beating Bikini Atoll.
6 - Remember Shirley - Willing to give this one another chance on the blades. The first turf try was dull. She's a better horse now and will be flying late.
7 - Offbeat Fashion - Not a huge fan of Euros making their first US start going 5f. They tend to break slowly and leave themselves too much work to do late. That said, Clement looks to have this one ready to go. They thought enough of her to throw her to the wolves in the Irish 1000 Guineas last year. Scr
11 - Jp'shanna - Draws in, must overcome the outside post. Fits in perfectly with the top two choices.

Race 10 - Clm 6250 1 1/16 Dirt

6 - Full Exertion - Positive jock switch, slight drop in class and not much to beat = potential winner.
8 - Seducing Mr. G - Positive jock switch, stretch out to a distance that the horse has won twice in two races and not much to beat = potential winner.
10 - Ravishing Ruby - If Willie can settle this one down, she may be the one to beat. Has enough speed to overcome the outside post. Wire to wire candidate. Did I mention, there isn't much to beat here? Scr
4 - Cruzan Fling - Keeps dropping to find the right level. Two wins over this surface.

Small Ticket:
5,6/1,2,3/1,2,6/4,6,8 = $54

Big Ticket:
5,6/1,2,3,4,5/1,2,6,11/4,6,8 = $120

GL

[Bigsmc]

Interesting firster in today's 4th, 1 - East Coaster has been working at the Ocala Training Center for her debut, but tossed in a nice (for 12.5k MCL horses) breeze over the Tampa surface on Saturday. She's by Graeme Hall who has been more than adequate with first time starters and with a Kirk Zaidie firster in the race and under the radar connections, she will be a juicy price.

Her full brother won at first asking, although it was going longer, she looks to have enough speed to hang with these. She does not have to be much to beat this bunch. The highest lifetime Beyer in the race is a 41. I am going to try to single her in the pick 3's revolving around this race and see if we can get her to pop from the inside at big odds.

GL

[Bigsmc]

Tuesday, February 12, 2008

TRACK: Fast
TURF: Firm
Portable rail: at 0

Weather: Mostly Cloudy � mid 70�s

Pick 6 CARRYOVER: $24,134.27


RACE 1 No Changes
Post Time 12:35

RACE 2 #2-+2 #7-+2 #10-jockey TBA
Post Time 1:02

RACE 3 #3-+1 #11-+4
Post Time 1:29

RACE 4 #6-+2
#7-Scratched(Alie�s Love Story)
#11-+1
Post Time 1:56

RACE 5 #10-Scratched(Ballerina Bunny)
Post Time 2:23

RACE 6 #3-+4
Post Time 2:50

RACE 7 (Turf) #1-+1 #10-+2
#11-+5 #12-+1
#13-Scratched(Judith�s Lake)
#14-Scratched(Dancer�s Legacy)
Post Time 3:17

RACE 8 No Changes
Post Time 3:44

RACE 9 (Turf)
#7-Scratched(Offbeat Fashion)
#11-jockey P. Morales
#12-Scratched(Mo�s Prize)
#13-Scratched(Whitefish)
#14-Scratched(Queen Amira)
Post Time 4:11

RACE 10 #5-jockey W. Galvez
#10-Scratched(Ravishing Ruby)
Post Time 4:38

[tiggerv]

Bah. I capped for Fast/Firm too. If it rains then I will just pass. There are a number of AEs that would have to be included too depending on scratches. Will update with my actuals tickets later.

Race 7 - Tons of speed in this race and should set up for a closer. At this low level, a lot of these older horses have shown races in their last 10 that can beat this field. Going deep should I play back ups.
A - 6 Starlight Serenade
A - 12 Manchu Prince
B - 3 Bridled Quest
B - 4 Mesawmi
B - 5 Sir Swervalot
B - 8 Dinner in Odem

Race 8 - Not a lot of pace in this race. Perhaps Big Tex or Prince Nick coming out of sprints will lead. Must include both plus the class dropper Admiral's Arch and the in form Systamatic Saint.
A - 1 Big Tex
A - 2 Admiral's Arch
A - 3 Prince Nick
B - 4 Systamatic Saint

Race 9 - Looking for those close to the front. Have to use the Euro even though he may not like the short distance. Connections and class are so strong that he is a must include.
A - 1 Bikini Atoll
A - 2 Fast Hand
A - 11 Jp'shanna
B - 6 Remember Shriley

Race 10 - Typical low level claimer. Will take the 4 favorites and most in form horses.
A - 6 Full Exertion
B - 4 Cruzan Fling
B - 8 Seducing Mr. G

[Rudeboyelvis]

Race 7
6 Starlight serenade 3rd
12 Manchu Prince
3 Bridled quest
9 Onotheregostokyo WON 53.40 19.20 7.00
5 Sir Swervalot Not the same since the late summer layoff - 4th start off on bettering form @ clm25 w/ a positive equipment change and oh yeah, Ness/Centeno :) may not look the part on paper, but impossible to leave off 2nd

Race 8
3 Prince Nick WON
2 Admirals arch 3rd

Race 9
2 Fast hand 4th
11 Jp'shanna WON
1 Bikini Atoll 2nd
6 Remember Shirley

Race 10
6 full exertion 4th
5 Champagne Sunrise WON 29.40 11.40 8.40
3 Queens Crumpets
4 Cruzan Fling 2nd


Big - 3,5,6,9,12//2,3//1,2,6,11//3,4,5,6 160.00 3912.30
Small - 3,5,6,9,12//2,3//1,2,11//3,5,6 90.00 3912.30

[Bigsmc]

Race 7
6 Starlight serenade
12 Manchu Prince
3 Bridled quest
9 Onotheregostokyo
5 Sir Swervalot Not the same since the late summer layoff - 4th start off on bettering form @ clm25 w/ a positive equipment change and oh yeah, Ness/Centeno :) may not look the part on paper, but impossible to leave off

Race 8
3 Prince Nick
2 Admirals arch

Race 9
2 Fast hand
11 Jp'shanna
1 Bikini Atoll
6 Remember Shirley

Race 10
6 full exertion
5 Champagne Sunrise
3 Queens Crumpets
4 Cruzan Fling


Big - 3,5,6,9,12//2,3//1,2,6,11//3,4,5,6 160.00
Small - 3,5,6,9,12//2,3//1,2,11//3,5,6 90.00

Is today Craig Phillip's day? He's not going to get many more chances on horses this live. Thought for sure his "Army" would include.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Is today Craig Phillip's day? He's not going to get many more chances on horses this live. Thought for sure his "Army" would include.

Nah, not today - Tiggerv's got 'em as a "B" - that's good enough for the Army :D

[Coach Pants]

Smooth Wind looks live in the opener despite having to face one of Jamie Ness' super first off the claimers.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Starting to rain lightly here in Safety Harbor (about 15 min west of Oldsmar)

[Bigsmc]

Smooth Wind looks live in the opener despite having to face one of Jamie Ness' super first off the claimers.

Very live.

I'm going to throw in a:

3,5,6/4,7 DD

GL

[tiggerv]

Nah, not today - Tiggerv's got 'em as a "B" - that's good enough for the Army :D

Haha. He probably should be a "D" or "F" but I figure he has been looking forward to this mount since it was carded a week ago. Nobody should ride harder today.

[tiggerv]

Smooth Wind looks live in the opener despite having to face one of Jamie Ness' super first off the claimers.

Very very nice PP.

[Coach Pants]

Chilly Willie! :D

[Bigsmc]

Nice start Pillow...

Race 2

Pick 3

4,7/5,9/1

GL

[tiggerv]

Race 2

7 Shoot For The Sky WP

EB 4,7,9

GL on the Double Bigs

[Coach Pants]

Thanks Bigs. Good luck on that double.

[Coach Pants]

Race 3
John David

[tiggerv]

Race 3
John David

On the same.

Also boxing with the 9.

[Bigsmc]

Bah.

Race 3
1/5,9 Exacta
+
5,7,9 Ex Box.

[tiggerv]

Race 4

1 East Coaster

EB 1,3,4

[Coach Pants]

Bah.

Race 3
1/5,9 Exacta
+
5,7,9 Ex Box.
Nice!

[Coach Pants]

Race 6
Downtown Victory - Consistency is the key.

[Bogey]

PK4

R7

#3 Bridled Quest
#6 Starlight Serenade
#5 Sir Sweralot

R8

#2 Admiral Arch
#3 Prince Nick

R9

#10 My Philly
#2 Fast Hand
#8 Wild Party Girl
#1 Bikini Atoll
#5 Classy Flower

R10

#6 Full Exertion

PK4 - 3 5 6 / 2 3 / 1 2 5 8 10 / 6 = $30

Good Racing Luck

[tiggerv]

Any late weather updates? Radar looks very iffy right now.

[Coach Pants]

Didn't get my pick 4 bet in time
1,5,6,8,9
3,4
1,2
4,6

Going to go bonkers if it hits.

[Coach Pants]

Late Pick 3
3,4
1,2
4,6

[IrishofNDMan]

Race 8

Prince Nick to win

[Rudeboyelvis]

Race 9 OFF the turf... :mad:

[Rudeboyelvis]

Race 8

Prince Nick to win

Nice Irish!

[Rudeboyelvis]

Haha. He probably should be a "D" or "F" but I figure he has been looking forward to this mount since it was carded a week ago. Nobody should ride harder today.

My boy never fails to disappoint. I'm really starting to feel bad for him.

[IrishofNDMan]

Nice Irish!

thanks, only a $6.60 winner so not much to brag about, but I'll take it. Got to see Prince Nick race a few times at GLD, one of my favs. at the track.

[Rudeboyelvis]

WOOOO HOOOOOO !!!!! P4 pays 3912.30

[Coach Pants]

Race 7
6 Starlight serenade 3rd
12 Manchu Prince
3 Bridled quest
9 Onotheregostokyo WON 53.40 19.20 7.00
5 Sir Swervalot Not the same since the late summer layoff - 4th start off on bettering form @ clm25 w/ a positive equipment change and oh yeah, Ness/Centeno :) may not look the part on paper, but impossible to leave off 2nd

Race 8
3 Prince Nick WON
2 Admirals arch 3rd

Race 9
2 Fast hand 4th
11 Jp'shanna WON
1 Bikini Atoll 2nd
6 Remember Shirley

Race 10
6 full exertion 4th
5 Champagne Sunrise WON 29.40 11.40 8.40
3 Queens Crumpets
4 Cruzan Fling 2nd


Big - 3,5,6,9,12//2,3//1,2,6,11//3,4,5,6 160.00 3912.30
Small - 3,5,6,9,12//2,3//1,2,11//3,5,6 90.00 3912.30
Outstanding!

[MISTERGEE]

terrific selections, congratulations and keep up the good work

[tiggerv]

Congrats RBE! Awesome score. Glad you had that 5.

[stevepopyak]

Nice work !!!

[Rudeboyelvis]

Congrats RBE! Awesome score. Glad you had that 5.

Thanks man - I felt pretty good about the 5 and 6 but was on the fence trimming that ticket in that leg between the 3 and the 4...Used the 3 thinking he had a nice trip at the distance a few back and was getting a tremendous weight break with the bug...never lifted a hoof and then saw the 4 coming through and the 5 weaving all over the stretch and thought I was done...

[mm1019]

Great Hit,Great Capping

[tiggerv]

39k in the Pick6 pool. It's almost worth taking a stab at.

[Gaines2b]

What a nice hit! Congratulations!:)

[docicu3]

Thanks man - I felt pretty good about the 5 and 6 but was on the fence trimming that ticket in that leg between the 3 and the 4...Used the 3 thinking he had a nice trip at the distance a few back and was getting a tremendous weight break with the bug...never lifted a hoof and then saw the 4 coming through and the 5 weaving all over the stretch and thought I was done...

An awsome understanding of local knowledge today RBE. This place should be touting your multi-race plays as you seem to own the place. Nice 8K day my friend...

[gamblin4ever]

nice hit rude:D

[57rick]

congrats,Ruby!!!
You da Tampa man!
Nice hit!

[3kings]

Nice job RBE! The Tampa boys are having a great meet.

[TitanSooner]

awesome capping RBE!

[hurricanefrank]

great score RDE! Kudos!

[infield_line]

what put you on to Onotheregostokyo? I tried to play at work today and clearly lacked the concentration to make any impact given the card. Lots of horses looking a whole lot alike.... and not in a good way

I/L

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

congrats..nice hit..

[Bigsmc]

Race 7
6 Starlight serenade 3rd
12 Manchu Prince
3 Bridled quest
9 Onotheregostokyo WON 53.40 19.20 7.00
5 Sir Swervalot Not the same since the late summer layoff - 4th start off on bettering form @ clm25 w/ a positive equipment change and oh yeah, Ness/Centeno :) may not look the part on paper, but impossible to leave off 2nd

Race 8
3 Prince Nick WON
2 Admirals arch 3rd

Race 9
2 Fast hand 4th
11 Jp'shanna WON
1 Bikini Atoll 2nd
6 Remember Shirley

Race 10
6 full exertion 4th
5 Champagne Sunrise WON 29.40 11.40 8.40
3 Queens Crumpets
4 Cruzan Fling 2nd


Big - 3,5,6,9,12//2,3//1,2,6,11//3,4,5,6 160.00 3912.30
Small - 3,5,6,9,12//2,3//1,2,11//3,5,6 90.00 3912.30

Very very nice Dan.

[Scav]

O NO THERE GOES TOKYO.


Love when Dooley gets all fired up when this one starts to close

[Rudeboyelvis]

what put you on to Onotheregostokyo? I tried to play at work today and clearly lacked the concentration to make any impact given the card. Lots of horses looking a whole lot alike.... and not in a good way

I/L

Tough race I/L- a lot of horses made sense and had to go 5 deep to catch him. Basically loved they way he ran last out going 5-6 wide from well off the pace closing into both Dinner in Odem and Gran Cesare. A lot of speed in here and figured with a clean trip he'd factor as he seems to be rounding back into form. Bernell Rhone seems to really prep his turf runners well and the bullet on the 8th made him an include for me.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Thanks everyone, it's nice to cash one of these biggies for a change - usually cussing when I get knocked out of these type of tickets :)

Pick 6 carryover ought to be over 20k... May need to take a stab at it Thursday

[Bigsmc]

$39,060 carry, let's go get it......

[Rudeboyelvis]

$39,060 carry, let's go get it......

With confidence of course! :D :D :D

Pretty safe to assume that we can cap for off the turf - I've got an inch of rain here already and it looks like a conveyer belt coming up from the south

[Bigsmc]

With confidence of course! :D :D :D

Pretty safe to assume that we can cap for off the turf - I've got an inch of rain here already and it looks like a conveyer belt coming up from the south

I'd say so. No way they are on on Thursday.

[Scav]

I'd say so. No way they are on on Thursday.

They won't be on until March with all that rain

[GPK]

Well done Dan. Very nice...way to represent.

[Bogey]

RBE, Nice hit and ticket structure.

[pmacdaddy]

Nice hit!!!

[viscount26]

Nice Job Dan,