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bellsbendboy
02-09-2008, 03:27 PM
SILVERBULLETDAY

Seems Farish put Briarwood together to purchase all the Mineshafts and Highest Class looks well spotted in todays Grade III. Going two turns for the fifth time she has a solid foundation, yet catches a field of stakeswinners included an undefeated champion. HC was last seen in the prep and could not close into a race where the last fraction was only slighty slower than the first quarter. Indian Blessing was on life support to win her comebacker and although she draws outside Miss Missile (who set a NTR in her debut) she figures to attend swift splits.
HC will appreciate the pace, gets big weight from the principal contenders and comes off the best work of her career. Also PROUD SPELL whose only loss was in the Monmouth quagmire, her last out. Jones good with this kind and the governor homebred been working nice. Two deep.

Risen Star

Would not expect The Darp to be on many tickets... but he is on ours. Bought as a weanling by talented pinhooker the Proud Citizen colt drew the rail in his debut and was off a bit slow while dueling inside a nice horse. At Churchill he closed very well to be beat a neck before working great into his two turn maiden breaker that opened some eyes, with his connections turning down a reported $500K after that blowout. The offer, put Werner in a tough spot. You do not want to blow one up with that kind of money on the line and he worked very slowly into the LeComte, after which the deal went down for a reported $800K. Bay colt named after "legendary" football coach at Amherst college turned in salty breezez last Friday and figures much tighter. Seven time leading rider as good as any at walking the dog in a rare sophomore stake with little speed signed on....maybe, at a big price.... Of course he must beat PYRO who has been working faster than most of these have ran. A couple of tough trips away from being champion two year old Winchell homer worked twice with big time cadillac before OUTSTANDING Tuesday work. Both of these get a big break in the weights and it will take a good one to beat them. Two long again

10

Not overly thrilled with LADY DIGBY but she need only run well to beat these. Broke her maiden in very fast time before ubiquitous fake stake ( all entrants eligible for this spot) at Saratoga. Shipped to Miami and very soft turf before left coast comebacker when a decent third at 7-5. Ramon best rider on east coast gets the call for his main man and little to beat. Also LUNA DORADO for enigmatic conditioner who can light the board up. Also beaten at 7-5 in her last homebred out of a nice mare can close and rider upgrade noted. Two again.

11

As the board indicated INDY VICTOR would be no factor in his Delaware debut but figures much better in this less than stellar maiden dash. Solid connections went down on the hip paying some 40 times the stud fee, yet selling as hip number 1392 out of 1399. January 14 gate move looks very useful and half miles since, say this one will not be a maiden long. Go jock signed on and the odds figure attractive. Jazz in the Park looks best of the rest for vanilla trainer who conditioned this ones half brother, Phoenix winner Elusive Jazz. After McKee abandoned ship in his debut this one was on the shelf and returned from a bad post and was bet down. BIG rider upgrade and solid second points this one out. Two echo. Call it 2,5 / 7,8 / 3,11 / 3,9 Good cappin. BBB

hoovesupsideyourhead
02-09-2008, 03:46 PM
good luck in the last the 1/5/10 are going to be tough.......

ArlJim78
02-09-2008, 04:20 PM
I'm also playing The Darp, 35 to 1 is unreal.

pmacdaddy
02-09-2008, 04:28 PM
I liked the Darp a bit when I looked at PP's. 34-1 I will take a small stab and play underneath a few exactas.

blackthroatedwind
02-09-2008, 05:29 PM
Good cappin.



Not exactly.

bellsbendboy
02-10-2008, 08:53 AM
Thought the stake pick four would be a bit chalky ($45 for a buck) and opted for the late sequence playing eight horses who were off at average odds of over fifteen to one. Alas, no cash.

Silverbulletday

Looked a good chance to beat Indian Blessing ($3.40) as she would not get the lead in here and was on life support in her comebacker but Gomez opened up at the top of the stretch and our duo could not run her down. Since Baffert shipped here he will probably come back for the Oaks and we will try him again all things considered as the gallop out did not impress many.

Risen Star

Congrats to Pyro and his electrifying late burst but it may be a bit much to give him the roses just yet. Certainly he vaults to the head of the class especially given the enigmatic, proposed schedule of main rival War Pass but the hurdles are many. One, he will pick up tens pounds and two, he will need to get the trip with a family that includes Olympio, Cuvee etc. Nevertheless an explosive performance and whatever speed figure he gets will be clouded by the lack of pace. Pulpit colt is very mature, always shows up and appears push button. The Darp off at a big number showed little, although we would have liked him to have been sent.

We were never sold on Lady Digby who gave up the lead late to be beaten a nostril by Pleasantly Blessed ($16.60) who was winning her third in a row! SXB gets the mount after Gomez turns it down. Luna Dorado showed nothing. Had real trouble finding the pace in this affair and that usually spells doom off the shrubs.

11

Solid cappers evaluate workouts just as weekend players use race results to identify form cycles. When young horses have only a race or two, or a period of inactivity, or both, workouts are the bridge that conveys clues concerning ability, level of fitness and surface preference. We made a convincing case for Indy Victor and he was let go at odds over FIFTY to one! With mild regret, we settled for second best behind the Jones comebacker who we felt may need more ground, but sold well, worked well and ran well getting home in ten and change returning $21 and keying a near tax exacta that helped the home team. Jones has had a terrific meet but horses from Delaware have always been difficult for us to get a handle on, and this meet has seen more shippers from that oval than previous years. The sequence comes back some $700 for a buck. Congrats to the winners. As usual play today.

Hooves: The 1 (Trippi Rythym was entered Feb 1st and scratched. That was a much easier spot. The 5 Penfold was heavily touted but caught a weak field in an off the turf dash ( noted by a circle with an x in it immediately following the distance) in his last, and really did little running. The ten True Crusader stopped badly in his debut and only worked once in the month after, never a good sign with spring sophomores.

Et Al. The Darp certainly was off at a big price and the paper said he had a chance but no luck. An emailer says his dam was struck by lightning and killed, then fell on her foal breaking its leg!

BTW Thanks for your contribution. BBB

blackthroatedwind
02-10-2008, 09:08 AM
It's hard to imagine ( save my much deserved thanks ) more being said about less.

May I suggest a books on tape version of " Exotic Betting " downloaded to an Ipod and listened to 24 hours a day for a period of two months?

Good cappin!

hoovesupsideyourhead
02-10-2008, 09:28 AM
SILVERBULLETDAY

Seems Farish put Briarwood together to purchase all the Mineshafts and Highest Class looks well spotted in todays Grade III. Going two turns for the fifth time she has a solid foundation, yet catches a field of stakeswinners included an undefeated champion. HC was last seen in the prep and could not close into a race where the last fraction was only slighty slower than the first quarter. Indian Blessing was on life support to win her comebacker and although she draws outside Miss Missile (who set a NTR in her debut) she figures to attend swift splits.
HC will appreciate the pace, gets big weight from the principal contenders and comes off the best work of her career. Also PROUD SPELL whose only loss was in the Monmouth quagmire, her last out. Jones good with this kind and the governor homebred been working nice. Two deep.

Risen Star

Would not expect The Darp to be on many tickets... but he is on ours. Bought as a weanling by talented pinhooker the Proud Citizen colt drew the rail in his debut and was off a bit slow while dueling inside a nice horse. At Churchill he closed very well to be beat a neck before working great into his two turn maiden breaker that opened some eyes, with his connections turning down a reported $500K after that blowout. The offer, put Werner in a tough spot. You do not want to blow one up with that kind of money on the line and he worked very slowly into the LeComte, after which the deal went down for a reported $800K. Bay colt named after "legendary" football coach at Amherst college turned in salty breezez last Friday and figures much tighter. Seven time leading rider as good as any at walking the dog in a rare sophomore stake with little speed signed on....maybe, at a big price.... Of course he must beat PYRO who has been working faster than most of these have ran. A couple of tough trips away from being champion two year old Winchell homer worked twice with big time cadillac before OUTSTANDING Tuesday work. Both of these get a big break in the weights and it will take a good one to beat them. Two long again

10

Not overly thrilled with LADY DIGBY but she need only run well to beat these. Broke her maiden in very fast time before ubiquitous fake stake ( all entrants eligible for this spot) at Saratoga. Shipped to Miami and very soft turf before left coast comebacker when a decent third at 7-5. Ramon best rider on east coast gets the call for his main man and little to beat. Also LUNA DORADO for enigmatic conditioner who can light the board up. Also beaten at 7-5 in her last homebred out of a nice mare can close and rider upgrade noted. Two again.

11

As the board indicated INDY VICTOR would be no factor in his Delaware debut but figures much better in this less than stellar maiden dash. Solid connections went down on the hip paying some 40 times the stud fee, yet selling as hip number 1392 out of 1399. January 14 gate move looks very useful and half miles since, say this one will not be a maiden long. Go jock signed on and the odds figure attractive. Jazz in the Park looks best of the rest for vanilla trainer who conditioned this ones half brother, Phoenix winner Elusive Jazz. After McKee abandoned ship in his debut this one was on the shelf and returned from a bad post and was bet down. BIG rider upgrade and solid second points this one out. Two echo. Call it 2,5 / 7,8 / 3,11 / 3,9 Good cappin. BBB
does the fact that your were not close mean anything......

SentToStud
02-10-2008, 10:16 AM
BBB,

Love the rehash.

Your 50-1 in the last was live.

blackthroatedwind
02-10-2008, 10:20 AM
You're so transparent sometimes Bruce.

SentToStud
02-10-2008, 10:39 AM
You're so transparent sometimes Bruce.

I like the rehash! Better than the analysis but hey, at least he put it out there.

That horse ran 2nd at 50-1+ in the last! Now if only there were an expert show bettor around here....

blackthroatedwind
02-10-2008, 10:46 AM
I like the rehash! Better than the analysis but hey, at least he put it out there.

That horse ran 2nd at 50-1+ in the last! Now if only there were an expert show bettor around here....


We had one, but you scared him away, you bad man.

Agreed on the first part....at least he puts it out there. Given all the time the guy puts into it I just wish he would give himself a chance to win. A lot of " ifs " here, but just imagine if he hadn't lost the head bob in the 10th and his 50-1 shot had won ( it was a distant second but say the winner falls down or something ) and he had blown the Pick-4 because he didn't use Indian Blessing. I have no argument with dancing around the chalky number, but if you are using even one big priced horse you pretty much have to use any likely short price in the other legs. Once again, his handicapping was OK....but his betting was atrocious.