2/2: Magna 5; GP (C/O); SA (P4)

[Kasept]

Outrageous slate of action from Coast-to-Coast Saturday with Soph Stakes, Magna 5 action and Stakes glut at Arcadia.. Gulfstream carryover try was feast or famine Friday with three races diagnosed well and three complete swings n' misses. Pot swells to near $100,000 at Hallandale with strong sextet..

ALL SELECTIONS PRE-SCRATCHES/CHANGES...

MAGNA 5


Leg A -- LRL 10th (4:40pm): Dancing Count, 3yo, 6f

Best Value: #1 Hefty Returns 9-2 9th
Most Likely: #7 Ghostly Thunder 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Springs Road 7-2 4th
Exotics Add: #2 Regal Solo 4-1 5th


Leg B -- GG 4th (4:50pm): OC/N1X, 4+, 1m

Best Value: #6 Dancin Candy 5-1 WON
Most Likely: #1e Dollase/Hollendorfer entry 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 Midnighter 7-2 4th
Exotics Add: #4 Time to Honor 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (6-1) $9.70
$1 Trifecta (6-1-4) $108.20
$1 Superfecta (6-1-4-7) $422.60


Leg C -- SA 5th (5:03pm): 70th Bob Lewis (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

1. Indian Sun (Solis/Hendricks) 5-2: Brother Derek connections seasoned and steady Injun Chuck bay figures to save all the ground for late run, but has been outclassed thrice facing The Leopard, Into Mischief, Colonel John and El Gate Malo; Is cashing checks along the way, and son of Alleged mare may still have upside long term..

2. Crown of Thorns (Espinoza/Mandella) 2-1: Mandella charge cost B. Wayne Hughes $300k at OBS last spring, and looked worth it in 2nd career start, a 7L romp New Year's Day; Repent bay tries 2 turns, and has been drilled appropriately for stretchout with pair of slow 7f efforts; Looks 'bona fide' from masterful outfit..

3. Coast Guard (Bejarano/Hofmans) 7-2: $300k dark bay from Amerman-Hoffman ran into nice juvies Kanan Dume and Talk of a Cat last year before acing maiden test in route debut in final '07 start; Has flashed hotfoot in sharp a.m. blowouts 1/20 & 1/26 and gets goggles for soph bow which telegraphs Stormy Atlantic son's front end intent here; Could take some catching..

4. Reflect Times (Smith/Shirreffs) 3-1: Tojo rednut perfect in 2 tries for Shirreffs and keeps getting flattered having bested impressive 'next out' Gayego in 12/28 ALW and Chop House George (good group MDN score Thursday) in career debut at Del Mar 9/1/07; Late-running style a possible negative in this small field with pace scenario up in the air, but recent speed tripping at sunrise says top barn may be gearing up handsomely bred Derby-intended colt who should adore second turn; If not today in black type bow, then soon..

5. Meal Penalty (Gomez/Pletcher) 5-1: Pletcher plodder started career like potential good horse, but has gone backwards since getting head handed to him in stakes company with increasing regularity; Needs form reversal or softer company..

SELECTIONS:

1. #2 Crown of Thorns WON
2. #4 Reflect Times 3rd
3. #3 Coast Guard 2nd

$1 Exacta (2-3) $8.10


Leg D -- GP 9th (5:13pm): Donn H. (Gr. I), 4+, 9f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Brass Hat 5-1: Pace meltdown candidate for all the marbles.. 4th
Most Likely: #4 Daaher 5-2: From the team that brought you '07 Donn winner.. 7th
Next Best: #2 Spring at Last 6-1: O'Neill hinted at big expectations on 'ATR'.. WON
Exotics Add: #5 A. P. Arrow 4-1: Easy to envision clunk-along exotic finish.. 2nd


Leg E -- SA 6th (5:34pm): 35th La Habra (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 6.5f-DHT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Brutally deep turf dash on mystifying downhill course; Throw a dart..

Best Value: #2 Fanatical 20-1 5th
Most Likely: #1 Porto Marmay 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 La Mina 6-1 8th
Exotics Add: #10 Set Play 6-1 4th


Magna 5 Play(s):

Main (Backups or Spreads)

A: 1-7 (2-3)
B: 1-4-6
C: 2-4 (3)
D: 4 (8)
E: 1-4-6 (2-10)

MAIN: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x $2 = $72



GULFSTREAM

Rare 6 figure carryover pot at Hallandale on 'big day' card..

5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Lady on Holiday 6-1 3rd
Most Likely: #2 Overandabeauty 3-1 6th
Next Best: #6 J Z Warrior 8-5 2nd-DQ'd from 1st
Exotics Add: #5 Informed Decision 4-1 WON

$1 Exacta (5-6) $11.50
$1 Trifecta (5-6-7) $47.90


6th: Swale (Gr. II), 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

KMc's Wincat obvious most likely winner, and Coal Play no better than several here.. Lukas' interesting Silver Edition has been distinctly alternating efforts and should regress from big Hutch try..

Best Value: #2 Eaton's Gift 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #6 Wincat 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #7 Coal Play 5-2 6th
Exotics Add: #4 St. Joe 6-1 7th


7th: ALW/N1X, P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Cherokee Focus 6-1 7th
Most Likely: #2 Ling Ling Qi 5-1 WON
Next Best: #1a Larry's Revenge 2-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #4 Referee 3-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (2-4) $14.80
$1 Pick 3 (5/2/2) $137.70
$1 Trifecta (2-4-1) $48.90


8th: MSW, 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Dream Maestro 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #5 Sligovitz 7-2 5th
Next Best: #2 Juicy Point 4-1 WON
Exotics Add: #11 Hyrule 5-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-9) $32.20
$1 Trifecta (2-9-11) $114.30
$1 Pick 3 (2/2/2) $193.10


GP 9th: Donn H. (Gr. I), 4+, 9f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 Brass Hat 5-1: Pace meltdown candidate for all the marbles.. 4th
Most Likely: #4 Daaher 5-2: From the team that brought you '07 Donn winner.. 7th
Next Best: #2 Spring at Last 6-1: O'Neill hinted at big expectations on 'ATR'.. WON
Exotics Add: #5 A. P. Arrow 4-1: Easy to envision clunk-along exotic finish.. 2nd

$1 Exacta (2-5) $37.60
$1 Pick 3 (2/2/2) $315.10


10th: S/ALW, 4+, 9f-T (Super)

Best Value: #11 Mining for Silver 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #8 Chestermite 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Stratostar 4-1 WON
Exotics Add: #4 Black Snake 12-1 8th

$1 Exacta (9-8) $10.10
$1 Pick 3 (2/2/9) $146.80


P6 Play:

5: 2-6-7
6: 2-6
7: 2-3
8: 2-5-9
9: 4
10: 8-11

3x2x2x3x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50/<$100 P4 Plays:

Offers $32 alternate back-ups singling Daaher or Sligovitz..

7: 1-2-3-4
8: 5 (2-9)
9: 4 (2-8)
10: 4-8-9-11

Main: 4x1x1x4 = $16 x $2 = $32
Backups: 4x2x1x4 and/or 4x1x2x4 = $32 each ($64)

$1 Pick 4 (2/2/2/9) Paid $1,019.50



SANTA ANITA


5th: Robert Lewis (Gr. II) See Above


6th: La Habra (Gr. II) See Above


7th: 51st Santa Monica (Gr. I), F&M-4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Society Hostess 8-1 2nd
Most Likely: #5 Hysterical Lady 6-5 4th
Next Best: #1 SCR


8th: 5th Thunder Road (L), 4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Siren Lure 6-1 10th
Most Likely: #2 Isipingo 9-2 7th
Next Best: #7 Lang Field 5-1 4th
Exotics Add: #10 It's a Bird 10-1 6th


9th: 61st Strub (Gr. II), 4yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Giant Gizmo 8-1 6th
Most Likely: #3 Tiago 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 SCR
Exotics Add: #2 Slew's Tizzy 15-1 7th


10th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 7f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 On Overdrive 10-1 9th
Most Likely: #9 Tall Tonic 7-2 12th
Next Best: #13 Catch That Thief 6-1 10th
Exotics Add: #3 Sure Thing Eva 8-1 2nd


11th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (Super High 5)

Best Value: #7 Itsnotjustagame 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 Meetingwithdestiny 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Catastaire 7-2 3rd
Exotics Add: #2 Shem Tov 9-2 2nd
High 5 Use: #5 Point of Sands 8-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-5
9: 2-3-7
10: 3-4-9-11-13-14
11: 7-8

2x3x6x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

GULFSTREAM PARK CHANGES

SATURDAY FEB 2 , 2008
PARTLY SUNNY, 80

TRACK // FAST
TURF // FIRM
RAIL AT 48 FEET

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
P6 CARRYOVER $92336.00
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^


4 SCR. # 9 GO CHEROKEE GO


5 # 4 JOCKEY J. BRAVO


7 SCR. # 1(POE) COAL PLAY


DONN HDCP. 9 SCR. # 1 WOOD BE WILLING

[cal828]

Like your picks in the Donn Steve. I think I'll put Spring at last over a couple of these as the possible upsetter, if there is a pace meltdown. He's got the recency edge over most of these and gets a better post. Like Brass Hat too, but the scenario is not the same as when he won it before. Now watch him kick my butt!!

[onebadbeast]

Hey Steve, On The Beat The Host. Do You Have To Make All Your Selections At Once, Or Wait For Each Race?

[Kasept]

Hey Steve, On The Beat The Host. Do You Have To Make All Your Selections At Once, Or Wait For Each Race?
Dude..

You can do either.. Make them and watch or bet as they go.

Good luck!

[Kasept]

SCRATCHES AND CHANGES FOR SANTA ANITA

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 2ND, 2008






Race 1: SCRATCH #13 DEE'S FLING, #14 A.C.'S MIRACLE

Race 2: SCRATCH #1 FOREIGN

Race 3: SCRATCH #2 BOB BENOIT

Race 4: SCRATCH #1 COUNTY TUNE

Race 5: #1 +1 OVERWEIGHT

Race 6: SCRATCH #3 CZECHERS

Race 7: SCRATACH #1 PUSSYCAT DOLL; #4 +2 OVERWEIGHT

Race 8: SCRATCH #3 AWESOME GEM, #6 FITZ FLAG, #8 NIGHT CHAPTER, #13 SMOOTH AND SAVVY; #1 +1 OVERWEIGHT, #14 +3 OVERWEIGHT

Race 9: SCRATCH #5 AIR COMMANDER

Race 10: NO CHANGES

Race 11: SCRATCH #6 RATE OF CHANGE

[Kasept]

What exactly are the GP stewards agonizing over here???

[jms62]

THats the WORST EFFING DQ EVER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:mad:

[Scav]

What exactly are the GP stewards agonizing over here???

Whipped him in the face, but the horse just shied from it.....I don't konw, i can't tell either way

[Kasept]

What exactly are the GP stewards agonizing over here???
Whip.. Kills my P6.. Thanks. Did see where the Sheppard horse shied at the 8th pole...

Stewards sit on their hands non-stop but jump in there? Amazing. Wasn't even an objection filed.

[jms62]

The 5 bumped the 6 early in the stretch.. HorsePucky!

[Scav]

I have no idea if it was the right call. Wait until the masses come and argue it, I am just not sure you can definitively tell that he hit him with the whip

[jms62]

If you couldn't tell then it wasn't flagarant enough to call in a big spot like Donn Day...

[onebadbeast]

Dude 1
Siegel 0

[Scav]

If you couldn't tell then it wasn't flagarant enough to call in a big spot like Donn Day...

They are more concerned with giving away $500 gift cards

[jms62]

Coal Play just isn't a very good horse... I did however catch the .10 Super... Nice to se that 50-1 shot get up for second

[Kasept]

Dude 1
Siegel 0
!!!!!

Nice job Dude!

[Scav]

For anyone looking to piss away $30

6: 4
7: 5
8: 2,9,10
9: 3
10: 2,3,6,9,13
11: 4

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

where can i send my fee cuz your putting on a CLINIC....GREAT JOB STEVE!!

[cal828]

What did the exacta pay on Spring at Last/AP Arrow?

[cal828]

Nice picks on the Donn Steve. I used them and had Spring at Last/AP Arrow, but not enough to do more than pay for my tickets plus a little. Still better than tearing up tickets.