Kasept
01-16-2008, 04:15 AM
Offset losses of disasterous Saturday at Fair Grounds with strong Sunday at Santa Anita keyed by $39.40 Heathersdaddysbaby ('Best Value') and resultant $311.50 tri in the 7th.. Aqueduct and Santa Anita have back-to-back Carryovers of $60k+ and $90k+ respectively Wednesday and Thursday, with the Big A sextet looking especially approachable..
AQUEDUCT
POST SCRATCHES/CHANGES
4th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P6, P3)
Best Value: #3 Keuka Maid 5-1: Consistant Morrison mare not hopeless.. 3rd
Most Likely: #4 La Mure 7-2: LRL invader from King right alternative.. WON
Next Best: #7 Vilify 3-1: 3rd off break; Stumbled 2 back; Contender.. 8th
Exotics Add: #6 Reyana's Jet 9-2: Has found ALW waters too deep.. 2nd-DQ'd from 1st
$1 Exacta (4-6) $23.90
$1 Trifecta (4-6-3) Paid $95.00
5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3yo, 6f (P3, G/S)
2 horse race with obvious opportunity to single Asmussen Forestry filly (#2 Jet Setting) that aced debut and had tardy start to last behind good looking Dance Gal Dance. May have picked up rating lesson there, and retains hot Elliott in logical next step. Imposing; #7 I Promise crushed MDN juvy foes at BEL in June before extending Subtle Aly to limit Opening Day at Spa in the Schylerville. Wheels came off in the Adirondack three weeks later and hasn't been seen since. Clear danger if ready..
Most Likely: #2 JET SETTING 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 I Promise 2-1 WON
Exotics Add: #1 Anlyn 4-1 5th
6th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3yo, 5.5f (P4, DD, .10 Super)
Best Value: #6 Dadoway 6-1: Gelding moves inside, adds blinks; Note CC lands below.. 5th
Most Likely: #3 Brookhaven's Money 4-1: Debuts; Best option v. dreadful set.. 6th
Next Best: #4 Seamus Judge 4-1 4th
Exotics Add: #2 Avagardo 5-1 WON
7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, .10 Super)
No tougher level for me than these types where jump-ups seem to derail multi-race plays often...
Best Value: #8 Keen Spirit 10-1: Cuts back; Leah cold but clicks off claims.. 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Girl Show 4-1: DiPrima 5/15 '1st time trainer'; Back to best surface.. WON
Next Best: #11 SCR
Exotics Add: #7 Bourne First 3-1 3rd
$1 Exacta (1-8) $15.30
$1 Trifecta (1-8-7) $35.50
8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (DD)
VERY tough OC/ALW..
Best Value: #4 SCR Sub: #3 No Reply 4-1 3rd
Most Likely: #2 (POE) Hurrah 3-1: Beaten neck, nose & 2L last trio.. WON
Next Best: #10 SCR
Exotics Add: #7 Run With the Lark 5-1: Threat on return to best.. 2nd
$1 Exacta (2-7) $18.30
$1 Trifecta (2-7-3) $46.00
9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-70y (.10 Super)
Best Value: #2 Stolen Greeting 6-1: Another 'first time' DiPrima.. 6th
Most Likely: #3 Trading Star 8-1: Violette returnee tough in spot if ready.. 5th
Next Best: #9 Game Informer 5-1: Ongoing $700k flop now with Levine.. 10th
Exotics Add: #4 Charlie Caliente 12-1: Not so crazy 2nd off break.. 4th
<$150 P6 Play:
4: 3-4
5: 2
6: 3-6
7: 1-7-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-9
2x1x2x3x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
$60 P4 Play:
6: 3-6
7: 1-7-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4-7-9
2x3x2x5 = $60
Good luck!
Steve
AQUEDUCT
POST SCRATCHES/CHANGES
4th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m-70y (P6, P3)
Best Value: #3 Keuka Maid 5-1: Consistant Morrison mare not hopeless.. 3rd
Most Likely: #4 La Mure 7-2: LRL invader from King right alternative.. WON
Next Best: #7 Vilify 3-1: 3rd off break; Stumbled 2 back; Contender.. 8th
Exotics Add: #6 Reyana's Jet 9-2: Has found ALW waters too deep.. 2nd-DQ'd from 1st
$1 Exacta (4-6) $23.90
$1 Trifecta (4-6-3) Paid $95.00
5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3yo, 6f (P3, G/S)
2 horse race with obvious opportunity to single Asmussen Forestry filly (#2 Jet Setting) that aced debut and had tardy start to last behind good looking Dance Gal Dance. May have picked up rating lesson there, and retains hot Elliott in logical next step. Imposing; #7 I Promise crushed MDN juvy foes at BEL in June before extending Subtle Aly to limit Opening Day at Spa in the Schylerville. Wheels came off in the Adirondack three weeks later and hasn't been seen since. Clear danger if ready..
Most Likely: #2 JET SETTING 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #7 I Promise 2-1 WON
Exotics Add: #1 Anlyn 4-1 5th
6th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3yo, 5.5f (P4, DD, .10 Super)
Best Value: #6 Dadoway 6-1: Gelding moves inside, adds blinks; Note CC lands below.. 5th
Most Likely: #3 Brookhaven's Money 4-1: Debuts; Best option v. dreadful set.. 6th
Next Best: #4 Seamus Judge 4-1 4th
Exotics Add: #2 Avagardo 5-1 WON
7th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, .10 Super)
No tougher level for me than these types where jump-ups seem to derail multi-race plays often...
Best Value: #8 Keen Spirit 10-1: Cuts back; Leah cold but clicks off claims.. 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Girl Show 4-1: DiPrima 5/15 '1st time trainer'; Back to best surface.. WON
Next Best: #11 SCR
Exotics Add: #7 Bourne First 3-1 3rd
$1 Exacta (1-8) $15.30
$1 Trifecta (1-8-7) $35.50
8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (DD)
VERY tough OC/ALW..
Best Value: #4 SCR Sub: #3 No Reply 4-1 3rd
Most Likely: #2 (POE) Hurrah 3-1: Beaten neck, nose & 2L last trio.. WON
Next Best: #10 SCR
Exotics Add: #7 Run With the Lark 5-1: Threat on return to best.. 2nd
$1 Exacta (2-7) $18.30
$1 Trifecta (2-7-3) $46.00
9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-70y (.10 Super)
Best Value: #2 Stolen Greeting 6-1: Another 'first time' DiPrima.. 6th
Most Likely: #3 Trading Star 8-1: Violette returnee tough in spot if ready.. 5th
Next Best: #9 Game Informer 5-1: Ongoing $700k flop now with Levine.. 10th
Exotics Add: #4 Charlie Caliente 12-1: Not so crazy 2nd off break.. 4th
<$150 P6 Play:
4: 3-4
5: 2
6: 3-6
7: 1-7-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-9
2x1x2x3x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
$60 P4 Play:
6: 3-6
7: 1-7-8
8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4-7-9
2x3x2x5 = $60
Good luck!
Steve