DT Contest - Week 2

[DerbyCat]

In the contest this weekend we will be playing two races on Saturday, January 12th – the LeComte Stakes at the Fairgrounds and the San Rafael Stakes at Santa Anita (if they ever get the track fixed). As usual, please post your pick and an alternate pick in case your first choice scratches.


FAIRGROUNDS: LeComte Stakes (Grade III)
RACE # 9 DISTANCE: 1 Mile
PP’s: DRF (http://www.drf.com/row/pps/08lecomte.pdf)
Bris (http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdfs/stonerside_99198.pdf)
From The Fairgrounds (http://www.fairgroundsracecourse.com/racing_information/horsemen/stakes_past_performances/lecomte_stakes_pps_2008.pdf)
Post # Horse Jockey Weight Med.
1 Texas Fever Theriot H J II 122 L
2 The Darp Albarado R J 116 L
3 He's Eze Rivera J A II 122 L
4 Star Guitar Bourque C C 122 L
5 Z Fortune Bridgmohan S X 120 L
6 Blackberry Road Borel C H 116 L
7 Mad Flatter Graham J 118 L
8 Macho Again Leparoux J R 118 L
9 Star Defender Mena M 116 L


SANTA ANITA: San Rafael Stakes (Grade III)
RACE # 5 DISTANCE: 1 Mile
PP's: DRF (http://www.drf.com/row/pps/08sanrafeal.pdf)
Post # Horse Jockey Weight Equip. Med.
1 El Gato Malo Flores D R 119 L
2 Talk of a Cat Gomez G K 116 L
3 Sierra Sunset Espinoza V 122 L
4 Overbid Baze M C 116 L
5 Indian Sun Solis A 116 L
6 Massive Drama Bejarano R 119 L
7 Spinning Sound (IRE) Baze T C 116 Blk-On L

[geeker2]

#1 Texas Fever alt #5 Z Fortune

#6 Massive Drama alt #7 Spinning Sound

[cal828]

Past performances available tomorrow on drf.com as Races of the Week.

[_ed_]

LeComte: Z Fortune (Alt: Macho Again)
San Rafael: Talk of a Cat (Alt: Spinning Sound)

[Holland Hacker]

LeComte:
Macho Again
Alt. Blackberry Road

San Rafael:
Massive Drama
Alt. Sierra Sunset

[pweizer]

LeComte:

Blackberry Road
Alternate- Macho Again

San Rafael:

Massive Drama
Alternate- Indian Sun

Paul

[golfer]

LeComte:

Blackberry Road


San Rafael:

Indian Sun

[Gaines2b]

:cool: FG
TEXAS FEVER
alt. Macho Again

SA
OVERBID
alt. Talk of a Cat

[PPerfectfan]

Fairgrounds:

Texas Fever

Alt:BlackBerry Road

Santa Anita:

Spinning Sound

Alt: Talk of a Cat

[otisotisotis]

FG - Macho Again, alt- Z Fortune
SA - Spinnin Sound, alt - Indian Sun

[Dunbar]

FG:
Z Fortune
Alt: Macho Again

SA:
Indian Sun
Alt: Massive Drama

--Dunbar

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

the LeComte...

Macho Again
alt - Mad Flatter

the San Rafael...

El Gato Malo
alt - Massive Drama (scr.sub)

[Cannon Shell]

FG - He's eze
alt- Macho again


SA - Massive Drama
alt-Talk of a cat

[3kings]

FG

Texas Fever Alt. Blackberry Road

SA
Massive Drama Alt. Talk of the Cat

[Duvalier]

FG-The Darp

SA-El Gato Malo

[tiznowthegreat]

FG - Macho Again
alt - Z

SA - Overbid
alt - El Gato Malo

[Hoist Her Flag]

San Rafael

El Gato Malo,,, Alt Massive Drama

Lecomte:

The Darp, Alt Z Fortune

[herkhorse]

Mad Flatter- alt Texas Fever

Indian Sun- alt Massive Drama

[megahertz]

La Comte-Texas Fever (Macho Again)
San Rafael-El Gato Malo (Talk of a Cat)

[GBBob]

LeComte:

Blackberry Road

Allt: Star Guitar

San Rafael

Massive Drama

Alt: Indian Sun

[Heels1989]

Fairgrounds:

The Darp
Alt: Texas Fever

Santa Anita:
El Gato Malo
Alt: Massive Drama

[Oaklawnfan]

FG
Z Fortune , alt. Texas Fever

SA
Talk of a Cat , alt. Massive Drama:confused:

[horseofcourse]

Lecomte...
Blackberry Road
alt...Texas Fever

San Rafael...
El Gato Malo
alt...Talk of a Cat

[gamblin4ever]

Lecomte= Z Fortune Alt= The Darp

San Rafeal= Overbid Alt= Massive Drama

[Scav]

Lecomte
Pick: The Darp - Alt: Favorite

San Rafael
Pick: Indian Sun - Alt: Favorite

[declansharbor]

LeComte: Texas Fever

alt: Blackberry Road



San Rafael: Massive Drama

alt: Indian Sun

[mes5107]

LeComte S.
Macho Again (alt Z Fortune)

San Rafael
Massive Drama (alt Talk of a Cat)

[Many Others]

FGNO - Macho Again, alt. Texas Fever
SAX: El Gato Malo, alt. Massive Drama

[abe1947]

FG - Blackberry Road - alt - Texas Fever
SA - Overbid - alt Talk of a Cat

[Lava]

LeComte Stakes
Blackberry Road
Alt Macho Again

San Rafael
El Gato Malo
Alt Talk of a Cat

[SniperSB23]

Lecomte - Blackberry Road
San Rafael - El Gato Malo

[wiphan]

SA:
El Gato Malo
Alt- Massive Drama

FG:
Texas Fever
Alt- Z Fortune

[cboh11]

Lecomte - The Darp (Alternate - Blackberry Road)

San Rafael - Massive Drama (Alternate - Indian Sun)

[pgiaco]

Lecomte:
Z Fortune (alt. Texas Fever)

San Rafael
Indian Sun (alt. Massive Drama)

[ninetoone]

Star Guitar/Alt:Z Fortune

El Gato Malo

[MaTH716]

LeComte: STAR GUITAR alt: macho again
San Raf.: EL GATO MALO alt: talk of a cat

Just saw that Star Guitar was scratched, so I am submitting new picks:
LeComte:MACHO AGAIN alt:blackberry road

[Buffymommy]

Buffy's Picks:
Le Comte: Texas Fever alt. Mad Flatter
San Rafael: Massive Drama (OK, I picked this one on name alone because it is what my life if full of right now so no great handicapping in this race as soon as I saw the name I went with it.) Alt: El Gato Malo


G's Picks: (Carrot told me he wants to be called "G" this year)

Le Comte: He's Eze alt. Macho Again
San Rafael: Talk of a Cat alt. Overbid.


Good Luck everyone!

[DelKev]

Texas Fever alt Macho Again
Sierra Sunset alt Overbid

[2 Dollar Bill]

Le Comte... [ which Hard Spun won last year @ even money ]
Texas Fever............. Alt..Blackberry Road

San Rafael...[which Notional won last year @ less then even money ]

El Gato Malo...... alt..Talk of a Cat

Good Luck all !

[rontheman1964]

FG - Texas Fever Alt- Macho Again


SA - Massive Drama Alt- Sierra Sunset

[cal828]

LeComte

Blackberry Road alt Macho Again

San Rafael

Massive Drama alt Indian Sun

[wac]

Lecomte

Macho Again

Alt. Blackberry Road

San Rafel

Overbid

Alt. Talk of a Cat

[Riot]

LeComte:
The Darp
Alternate: Z Fortune

San Rafael:
El Gato Malo
Alternate: Massive Drama

[tiggerv]

LeComte:
He's Eze (Alt: Macho Again)

San Rafael:
Indian Sun (Alt: Massive Drama)

[ryonker]

Lecomte
Macho Again (akt. Blackberry Road)

San Rafael
Massive Drama (alt. Overbid)

thanks
Ron

[cowgirlintexas]

La Comete

the Darp Alt: Texas Fever


San Rafael

Massive Drama Alt:El Gato Malo

Good Luck all!!

[jms62]

LeComte

7-Mad Flatter

Alt
8-Macho again

San Rafel

5-Indian Sun

Alt
3-Sierra Sunset

[Immanuel Kant]

LeComte: #3 He's Eze (alt #2 The Darp)

San Rafael: #2 Talk of a Cat (alt #6 Massive Drama)

[smitty1278]

LeComte. Z Fortune ALT macho again San Rafael El Gato Mato alt Talk of a cat

[swedejxn]

FG z fortune alt blackberry road

SA Overbid alt massive drama

[TheSpyder]

LeComte:

Macho Again - alt-He's Eze

San Rafael

El Gato Malo - alt-Massive Drama

[PeteMugg]

Le Comte

Texas Fever alt. Z Fortune

San Rafael

Talk of a Cat alt. Massive Drama

[FlaFemFatale]

Le Comte...........Macho Again; alt Z fortune


San Raphael........Massive Drama; alt Talk of the Cat

[AngelSita]

LeComte - He's Eze (Alt. Blackberry Road)
San Rafael - Indian Sun (Alt. Talk of the Cat)

[mclem10011]

LeComte- #1 Texas Fever alt- Macho Again
San Rafael-#2 Talk of A Cat alt- El Gato Malo
Good Luck all!

[viscount26]

LeComte

Macho Again

alt Texas Fever

San Raphael

El Gato Malo

alt Talk of a Cat

[DerbyCat]

LeComte Stakes
Z Fortune
Alt. Macho Again


San Rafael Stakes
Talk of a Cat
Alt. Overbid

Good luck everyone, I'll be out all day so won't get the totals up until later.

[sundaysilenceforever]

Le Compte:

He's Eze.....alt Blackberry Rd.


San Raphael:

Talk of a Cat.....alt Massive Drama

[dylbert]

LeComte:
He's Eze (Alt: Macho Again)

San Rafael:
Massive Drama (Alt: Talk of a Cat)

[hi_im_god]

san rafael:

el gato malo
alt: talk of a cat

lecomte:

mad flatter
alt: z fortune

[Bigsmc]

FG
Z Fortune alt. The Darp

SA
El Gato Malo alt. Overbid

[pointman]

FG

Macho Again
alt - Mad Flatter

SA

El Gato Malo
alt - Talk of a Cat

[DerbyCat]

Nice prices in the two contest races, winner of the LeComte (Z Fortune) paid $12.00/$5.60/$4.00 and winner of the San Rafael (El Gato Malo) paid $6.80/$4.40/$2.60 giving a $35.40 boost to the three DTers that picked both winners – Bigsmc, Ninetoone and smitty1278. Our current leaders are Bigsmc, Hickory Hill Hoff and Mumtaz. Congrats to the top three (and everyone else, too :) )!!!

Current Standings and Totals:
# DT Member LeComte San Rafael TOTAL
1 Bigsmc $21.60 $13.80 = $78.40
2 Hickory Hill Hoff $0.00 $13.80 = $60.70
3 Mumtaz $0.00 $13.80 = $53.80
4 Gaines2b $0.00 $0.00 = $50.00
5 cboh11 $0.00 $2.20 = $49.10
6 Oaklawnfan $21.60 $0.00 = $47.60
7 Scav $0.00 $9.20 = $47.50
8 DerbyCat $21.60 $0.00 = $46.40
9 2 Dollar Bill $0.00 $13.80 = $45.60
9 viscount26 $0.00 $13.80 = $45.60
11 mes5107 $0.00 $2.20 = $45.20
12 Mclem10011 $0.00 $0.00 = $44.00
13 golfer $7.00 $9.20 = $43.20
14 hi im god $6.00 $13.80 = $38.20
14 Ninetoone $21.60 $13.80 = $38.20
16 Heels1989 $0.00 $13.80 = $37.00
17 MaTH716 $0.00 $13.80 = $36.70
17 megahertz $0.00 $13.80 = $36.70
19 pgiaco $21.60 $9.20 = $35.40
19 smitty1278 $21.60 $13.80 = $35.40
21 AngelSita $0.00 $9.20 = $35.20
22 Swedejxn $21.60 $0.00 = $33.00
23 Hoist Her Flag $0.00 $13.80 = $32.80
24 pweizer $7.00 $2.20 = $32.40
25 TheSpyder $0.00 $13.80 = $32.20
26 Dunbar $21.60 $9.20 = $30.80
27 SniperSB23 $7.00 $13.80 = $29.40
28 Many Others $0.00 $13.80 = $28.40
28 otisotisotis $0.00 $9.20 = $28.40
30 horseofcourse $7.00 $13.80 = $28.30
31 rontheman1964 $0.00 $2.20 = $28.20
32 GBBob $7.00 $2.20 = $23.80
33 ed $21.60 $0.00 = $21.60
33 gamblin4ever $21.60 $0.00 = $21.60
35 wiphan $0.00 $13.80 = $21.40
36 Lava $7.00 $13.80 = $20.80
37 nomad No Pick No Pick = $17.40
38 3kings $0.00 $2.20 = $16.80
39 pointman $0.00 $13.80 = $16.70
39 tiggerv $0.00 $9.20 = $16.70
41 herkhorse $6.00 $9.20 = $15.20
41 jms62 $6.00 $9.20 = $15.20
43 merasmag $0.00 $0.00 = $14.60
44 Duvalier $0.00 $13.80 = $13.80
44 sundaysilenceforever $0.00 $0.00 = $13.80
46 cowgirlintexas $0.00 $2.20 = $13.70
46 declansharbor $0.00 $2.20 = $13.70
48 Cal828 $7.00 $2.20 = $12.10
49 DelKev $0.00 $0.00 = $11.50
49 zippyneedsawin No Pick No Pick = $11.50
51 tiznowthegreat $0.00 $0.00 = $11.40
52 TitanSooner No Pick No Pick = $10.40
53 Pperfectfan $0.00 $0.00 = $7.60
54 abe1947 $7.00 $0.00 = $7.00
55 CannonShell $0.00 $2.20 = $6.80
56 deltagulf No Pick No Pick = $4.60
56 PeteMugg $0.00 $0.00 = $4.60
58 GenuineRisk No Pick No Pick = $2.90
58 trifecta124 No Pick No Pick = $2.90
60 Buffymommy $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 dylbert $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 FlaFemFatale $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 geeker2 $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 Holland Hacker $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 ryonker $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
66 DaHoss9698 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 G $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
66 Immanuel Kant $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
66 my miss storm cat No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 NTamm1215 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 Port Conway Lane No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 Saucon17 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 wac $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00

[Scav]

Bigs picks shouldn't count because they weren't included until 4pm EST.

This is the only way I can beat him since he is the best handicapper EVA

(jk on the 1st line)

[GenuineRisk]

Sigh. Totally forgot about this. Ah well; there's always next week!

[Bigsmc]

Bigs picks shouldn't count because they weren't included until 4pm EST.

This is the only way I can beat him since he is the best handicapper EVA

(jk on the 1st line)

Never fear, I'll fade like you running for gasoline.

[hi_im_god]

Nice prices in the two contest races, winner of the LeComte (Z Fortune) paid $12.00/$5.60/$4.00 and winner of the San Rafael (El Gato Malo) paid $6.80/$4.40/$2.60 giving a $35.40 boost to the three DTers that picked both winners – Bigsmc, Ninetoone and smitty1278. Our current leaders are Bigsmc, Hickory Hill Hoff and Mumtaz. Congrats to the top three (and everyone else, too :) )!!!

Current Standings and Totals:
# DT Member LeComte San Rafael TOTAL
1 Bigsmc $21.60 $13.80 = $78.40
2 Hickory Hill Hoff $0.00 $13.80 = $60.70
3 Mumtaz $0.00 $13.80 = $53.80
4 Gaines2b $0.00 $0.00 = $50.00
5 cboh11 $0.00 $2.20 = $49.10
6 Oaklawnfan $21.60 $0.00 = $47.60
7 Scav $0.00 $9.20 = $47.50
8 DerbyCat $21.60 $0.00 = $46.40
9 2 Dollar Bill $0.00 $13.80 = $45.60
9 viscount26 $0.00 $13.80 = $45.60
11 mes5107 $0.00 $2.20 = $45.20
12 Mclem10011 $0.00 $0.00 = $44.00
13 golfer $7.00 $9.20 = $43.20
14 hi im god $6.00 $13.80 = $38.20
14 Ninetoone $21.60 $13.80 = $38.20
16 Heels1989 $0.00 $13.80 = $37.00
17 MaTH716 $0.00 $13.80 = $36.70
17 megahertz $0.00 $13.80 = $36.70
19 pgiaco $21.60 $9.20 = $35.40
19 smitty1278 $21.60 $13.80 = $35.40
21 AngelSita $0.00 $9.20 = $35.20
22 Swedejxn $21.60 $0.00 = $33.00
23 Hoist Her Flag $0.00 $13.80 = $32.80
24 pweizer $7.00 $2.20 = $32.40
25 TheSpyder $0.00 $13.80 = $32.20
26 Dunbar $21.60 $9.20 = $30.80
27 SniperSB23 $7.00 $13.80 = $29.40
28 Many Others $0.00 $13.80 = $28.40
28 otisotisotis $0.00 $9.20 = $28.40
30 horseofcourse $7.00 $13.80 = $28.30
31 rontheman1964 $0.00 $2.20 = $28.20
32 GBBob $7.00 $2.20 = $23.80
33 ed $21.60 $0.00 = $21.60
33 gamblin4ever $21.60 $0.00 = $21.60
35 wiphan $0.00 $13.80 = $21.40
36 Lava $7.00 $13.80 = $20.80
37 nomad No Pick No Pick = $17.40
38 3kings $0.00 $2.20 = $16.80
39 pointman $0.00 $13.80 = $16.70
39 tiggerv $0.00 $9.20 = $16.70
41 herkhorse $6.00 $9.20 = $15.20
41 jms62 $6.00 $9.20 = $15.20
43 merasmag $0.00 $0.00 = $14.60
44 Duvalier $0.00 $13.80 = $13.80
44 sundaysilenceforever $0.00 $0.00 = $13.80
46 cowgirlintexas $0.00 $2.20 = $13.70
46 declansharbor $0.00 $2.20 = $13.70
48 Cal828 $7.00 $2.20 = $12.10
49 DelKev $0.00 $0.00 = $11.50
49 zippyneedsawin No Pick No Pick = $11.50
51 tiznowthegreat $0.00 $0.00 = $11.40
52 TitanSooner No Pick No Pick = $10.40
53 Pperfectfan $0.00 $0.00 = $7.60
54 abe1947 $7.00 $0.00 = $7.00
55 CannonShell $0.00 $2.20 = $6.80
56 deltagulf No Pick No Pick = $4.60
56 PeteMugg $0.00 $0.00 = $4.60
58 GenuineRisk No Pick No Pick = $2.90
58 trifecta124 No Pick No Pick = $2.90
60 Buffymommy $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 dylbert $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 FlaFemFatale $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 geeker2 $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 Holland Hacker $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
60 ryonker $0.00 $2.20 = $2.20
66 DaHoss9698 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 G $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
66 Immanuel Kant $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00
66 my miss storm cat No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 NTamm1215 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 Port Conway Lane No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 Saucon17 No Pick No Pick = $0.00
66 wac $0.00 $0.00 = $0.00

26 players above water. given the results and his analysis i think this is now "the dunbar line".

[Dunbar]

26 players above water. given the results and his analysis i think this is now "the dunbar line".

I think I'll pocket my $0.80 profit. I'm pretty risk averse.

--Dunbar

[Dunbar]

DTers did a pretty good job in Contest Week #2. The rate of loss was 8.1%, about half the track take. That was good enough to bring us back to where we are now losing at around the track take overall.

This week there were 62 cappers, so the amount bet was $744. The winning tickets added to $684. (684-744)/744 = -8.1%

Here are the overall results through the first 5 races of the contest:
# of picks: 318
Amount bet: $1908
Amount won: $1620.50
% return: (1620.50-1908)/1908 = -15.1%

--Dunbar

[DerbyCat]

And I thought I had too much time on my hands every time I tally the scores, enter them in to the spreadsheet and then post the results... good to see I'm not the only one who spends too much time on this contest! ;) :D

Seriously, nice stats Dunbar :)

[Dunbar]

And I thought I had too much time on my hands every time I tally the scores, enter them in to the spreadsheet and then post the results... good to see I'm not the only one who spends too much time on this contest! ;) :D

Seriously, nice stats Dunbar :)

Ha! It's actually more a case of displacing what I'm supposed to be working on. When I have a lot of things to do, it's way more fun to do something I don't have to do--such as obsess over the contest stats!

Thanks again for running such a good contest, DC.

--Dunbar