12/30: Aqueduct (4th-9th)

[Kasept]

Mandatory year end payout at AQU today with uncertainty for New Year's Day still hanging over S. Ozone Park...


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, .10 Super)

Best Value: #3 STAID 9-2 5th
Most Likely: #6 Quixotic Lassie 3-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Crane Bay 7-2 3rd
Exotics Add: #9 Chicks Are Better 12-1 2nd


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, G/S)

VERY tricky state bred allowance here.. Leaving out but fear #7 Twistaway (3-1) 3rd, whose race two back could be good enough here with last coming from difficult launch point, and Hushion's #6 Sky Ballet (7-2) 7th, who appears capable with third career improvement..

Best Value: #2 (POE) Court and Spark 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #9 Heavenly Ballad 4-1 12th (?!)
Next Best: #5 Villify 12-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #1e A. Dutrow entry 6-1 WON/2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, DD)

Best Value: #7 Najaran's Star 10-1 5th
Most Likely: #1e MCLAUGHLIN ENTRY 1-2 WON/2nd
Next Best: #5 Misty Daylight 15-1 7th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P3)

Best Value: #9 Libertarian 8-1 5th
Most Likely: #5 South Pacific 5-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Quick and Easy 3-1 WON
Exotics Add: #8 Collect the Purse 12-1 9th


8th: NYB-Robb H., 3+, 8.5f (DD, .10 Super)

Best Value: #9 Who What Win 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #7 Indian Hawke 5-2 7th
Next Best: #10 Naughty New Yorker 3-1 WON
Exotics Add: #3 Run Red Run 8-1 3rd


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (.10 Super)

Best Value: #1 Foose 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 True Wood 5-2 WON
Next Best: #10 Gold Shamrock 8-1 6th
Exotics Add: #5 Lycense to Win 20-1 9th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 3
5: 1-2-5-9 (6-7)
6: 1
7: 5-9
8: 7-9-10
9: 1-8-(10)

1x4x1x2x3x3 = 72 x $2 = $144 (or 1x6x1x2x3x2 = 72 x $2 = $144)


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1
7: 4-5-8-9
8: 7-9-10
9: 1-5-8-10

1x4x3x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

any weather report......../track status...

[Kasept]

AQUEDUCT: More rain possible. High 42.
CHARLES TOWN: Wintry mix with a high of 41.
FAIR GROUNDS: Rain possible. High 63.
GOLDEN GATE FIELDS: Mostly sunny. High 55.
HAWTHORNE: Cloudy with a high in the mid-30s.
MOUNTAINEER PARK: Snow possible. Low 29
PHILADELPHIA PARK: Rain likely. High 43.
PORTLAND MEADOWS: Rain expected. High 41.
SAM HOUSTON: Clear with a low of 50.
SANTA ANITA: Mostly sunny. High 61.
SUNLAND PARK: Sunny. High 59.
TAMPA BAY DOWNS: Possibility of rain. High 78.
TURF PARADISE: Mostly sunny. High 62.
TURFWAY PARK: Mostly cloudy. High 44.

[Kasept]

Minimal early changes at the Big A...

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp

Track: GOOD

[mclem10011]

AQUEDUCT: More rain possible. High 42.
CHARLES TOWN: Wintry mix with a high of 41.
FAIR GROUNDS: Rain possible. High 63.
GOLDEN GATE FIELDS: Mostly sunny. High 55.
HAWTHORNE: Cloudy with a high in the mid-30s.
MOUNTAINEER PARK: Snow possible. Low 29
PHILADELPHIA PARK: Rain likely. High 43.
PORTLAND MEADOWS: Rain expected. High 41.
SAM HOUSTON: Clear with a low of 50.
SANTA ANITA: Mostly sunny. High 61.
SUNLAND PARK: Sunny. High 59.
TAMPA BAY DOWNS: Possibility of rain. High 78.
TURF PARADISE: Mostly sunny. High 62.
TURFWAY PARK: Mostly cloudy. High 44.Wow Steve!, Now that's what I call a weather report, thanks.:p

[pointman]

Steve, really like your pk 4 ticket. Played it with pmac along with some C covers. Good luck to everyone today!

[pointman]

Pmac and I are live here to many, some bombs. We have the 1,2,3,4,5,8,9,10,11 for various amounts. Love to see the 4,5 or 11 here. Good luck to all those that are live! :)

[pmacdaddy]

Pmac and I are live here to many, some bombs. We have the 1,2,3,4,5,8,9,10,11 for various amounts. Love to see the 4,5 or 11 here. Good luck to all those that are live! :)

Nice work Nick. Straight A's so at least we get it for a few bucks...

However, would have much rather caught a "C" in one of the legs.

Live to fight another day...

[gamblin4ever]

nice hit on pk4 steve:D

[pointman]

not the result we were looking for, but live to play another day. Wish the 11 got uncorked a little earlier, he finished well. Nice job Steve, was hoping for a better price, but came up chalky.

[BPLichorowiec]

Just want to thank Steve for posting his choices today. I was able to construct a $12 pick 4 ticket and get $65 in return. Was alive to the three in the last, but just happy to win. Thanks Steve. Congrats to all who played and hit.

[Kasept]

Good work all.. Stayed chalky but I suppose not everyone would have ended a winner had a price slipped in along away.. Good way to end the NY year...

[the_fat_man]

Mandatory year end payout at AQU today with uncertainty for New Year's Day still hanging over S. Ozone Park...


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, .10 Super)

Best Value: #3 STAID 9-2 5th
Most Likely: #6 Quixotic Lassie 3-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Crane Bay 7-2 3rd
Exotics Add: #9 Chicks Are Better 12-1 2nd



I don't know if you're aware of this or not but

Chicks Are Better would've won the race if Hill didn't inexplicably switch the whip and CHANGE TO A NEW SET of GOGGLES a few strides before the wire, losing significantly enough momentum for the winner to go by. It was bad enough the horse didn't change leads but he only had a few more strides to the finish.

[Kasept]

I don't know if you're aware of this or not but

Chicks Are Better would've won the race if Hill didn't inexplicably switch the whip and CHANGE TO A NEW SET of GOGGLES a few strides before the wire, losing significantly enough momentum for the winner to go by. It was bad enough the horse didn't change leads but he only had a few more strides to the finish.
TFM,

Thx! Will watch the replay... Missed it live as I had a guest to the house.

[hockey2315]

I don't know if you're aware of this or not but

Chicks Are Better would've won the race if Hill didn't inexplicably switch the whip and CHANGE TO A NEW SET of GOGGLES a few strides before the wire, losing significantly enough momentum for the winner to go by. It was bad enough the horse didn't change leads but he only had a few more strides to the finish.

Yup! I think he thought he had it won. . . I costed me a pk3. . .

[pointman]

I don't know if you're aware of this or not but

Chicks Are Better would've won the race if Hill didn't inexplicably switch the whip and CHANGE TO A NEW SET of GOGGLES a few strides before the wire, losing significantly enough momentum for the winner to go by. It was bad enough the horse didn't change leads but he only had a few more strides to the finish.

I hadn't seen this race yesterday, started on the 6th, but I just looked at the replay and boy, what the hell was Hill thinking? Nice catch, fat man, it does look like Hill thought he had this race wrapped up, but why even attempt to remove the goggles at this point? Unless he was completely blinded, his handling in those last strides is inexplicable.