Kasept
10-26-2007, 02:43 PM
8th: BC MILE (Gr. I), $2MM, 3+, 8f-T (P4, P3)
Freely admit to having little feel for always quirky event.. Will be using ML fave #13 Excellent News lightly and #12 Purim in my own plays and multi-race wagers..
Best Value: #11 Silent Name 30-1: Bay 5yo being utterly ignored here this week, but makes debut for Frankel; Tote booster if able to return to good form.. 12th
Most Likely: #8 Kip Deville 6-1: Back to where he was in spring after misfires on foolish West Coast jaunts; 6 of 9 this trip and more than acceptable price.. WON
Exotics Use: #14 Remarkable News 12-1: Exceedingly classy 5yo should be able to get to turn first and save the ground the rest of the way under clever Ramon; Wire threat.. 2nd
Super Add: #9 Nobiz Like Shobiz 8-1 Choosing to trust Tagg's judgement with converted Classic soph who had been intended on trip to HOL for the Gr. I Derby; Only now really getting hang of lawn despite three straight wins; Castellano prefers Trippi's Storm, but Johnny V. may be a good fit.. 4th
9th: BC DISTAFF (Gr. I), $2MM, F&M-3+, 9f (P3)
Best Value: #6 Bear Now 15-1: Savvy Canadian conditioner always enters with intent and Tiznow filly will adore slop while loping on/near lead; Live, ready and dangerous turning for home with H'dorfer below.. 8th
Most Likely: #12 Hystericalady 8-1: Plenty of frontstretch available for DistHumor 4yo to get to turn without ground loss, and from there it's up to Castro; Ignore synthetic surface form and focus on Molly Pitcher performance this oval; Stands out.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Unbridled Belle 9-2: Pletcher Broken Vow 4yo immediately retutned to level of DEL H. performance with Beldame score: a good sign that she's capable of big effort again here; Mud a question mark.. 5th
Super Add: #1 Balance 20-1: Hofmans' TGulch bay accomplished and sitting on go for stalking trip from inside; Scored on wet-fast SA surface in February; Price is right.. 6th
10th: BC TURF (Gr. I), $3MM, 3+, 12f-T (DD)
Best Value: #2 Red Rocks 7-2 Back to defend title and gets Lasix as he did in '06 visit; Racey looking Galileo 4yo arrives here certainly as good as last year and could pull same stunt.. 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Dylan Thomas 7-5 Imposing Danehill bay trying to reverse 'Arc Curse' on three week turnaround; O'Brien amazed by colt's continence and increasing legend; Murtaugh likened MTH surface to Ascot's Friday, spot where Magnier-Tabor product aced Grp I 'George & Liz' in July; His race to lose.. 5th
Exotics Use: #6 English Channel 5-2: Quality 5yo 2/2 this strip, but off-going may not suit so well; Always comes with run, but expect board hit at best.. WON
Super Add: #1 Fri Guy 50-1: Romans-Zayat red will set pace and save ground, and should get little pressure; Has run races close enough to consider as exotics ladder-hanger at bonus tote.. 7th
11th: BC CLASSIC (Gr. I), $5MM, 10f
An edition of this race like few before it: A remarkably well-match group.. Take the one you've enjoyed the most as there appears to be little seperating the 4 excellent sophomores and 4yo Lawyer Ron..
Best Value: #3 Any Given Saturday 4-1: Haskell winner appears right type for this race flow, scenario, course condition..
Most Likely: #4 Curlin 3-1: Pitts, then Asmussen, deserve all the credit for making the most of super-talented Street Cry son; Never worse than third since bow, displayed tenacity in JCGC score and will need to utilize every tool in the box to cap campaign; Frankly rooting against, but looms the one to beat.. WON
Exotics Use: #1 Lawyer Ron 5-2: Magical year for Pletcher's Langfuhr 4yo who may finally have found the right spot to be rank; Gets first run on Hard Spun, but will need to battle others for all the money; Big chance..
Super Add: #2 Street Sense 3-1: Wonderful Nafzger colt is ready, but takes the worst of it under potential scenario of slop; Will be hard to close on this strip, but expect game an effort as possible in career farewell..
P4 Play:
8: 8-11-13-14
9: 6-11-12
10: 7
11: 1-2-3-4
4x3x1x4 = $48
Good luck!
Steve
Freely admit to having little feel for always quirky event.. Will be using ML fave #13 Excellent News lightly and #12 Purim in my own plays and multi-race wagers..
Best Value: #11 Silent Name 30-1: Bay 5yo being utterly ignored here this week, but makes debut for Frankel; Tote booster if able to return to good form.. 12th
Most Likely: #8 Kip Deville 6-1: Back to where he was in spring after misfires on foolish West Coast jaunts; 6 of 9 this trip and more than acceptable price.. WON
Exotics Use: #14 Remarkable News 12-1: Exceedingly classy 5yo should be able to get to turn first and save the ground the rest of the way under clever Ramon; Wire threat.. 2nd
Super Add: #9 Nobiz Like Shobiz 8-1 Choosing to trust Tagg's judgement with converted Classic soph who had been intended on trip to HOL for the Gr. I Derby; Only now really getting hang of lawn despite three straight wins; Castellano prefers Trippi's Storm, but Johnny V. may be a good fit.. 4th
9th: BC DISTAFF (Gr. I), $2MM, F&M-3+, 9f (P3)
Best Value: #6 Bear Now 15-1: Savvy Canadian conditioner always enters with intent and Tiznow filly will adore slop while loping on/near lead; Live, ready and dangerous turning for home with H'dorfer below.. 8th
Most Likely: #12 Hystericalady 8-1: Plenty of frontstretch available for DistHumor 4yo to get to turn without ground loss, and from there it's up to Castro; Ignore synthetic surface form and focus on Molly Pitcher performance this oval; Stands out.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Unbridled Belle 9-2: Pletcher Broken Vow 4yo immediately retutned to level of DEL H. performance with Beldame score: a good sign that she's capable of big effort again here; Mud a question mark.. 5th
Super Add: #1 Balance 20-1: Hofmans' TGulch bay accomplished and sitting on go for stalking trip from inside; Scored on wet-fast SA surface in February; Price is right.. 6th
10th: BC TURF (Gr. I), $3MM, 3+, 12f-T (DD)
Best Value: #2 Red Rocks 7-2 Back to defend title and gets Lasix as he did in '06 visit; Racey looking Galileo 4yo arrives here certainly as good as last year and could pull same stunt.. 3rd
Most Likely: #7 Dylan Thomas 7-5 Imposing Danehill bay trying to reverse 'Arc Curse' on three week turnaround; O'Brien amazed by colt's continence and increasing legend; Murtaugh likened MTH surface to Ascot's Friday, spot where Magnier-Tabor product aced Grp I 'George & Liz' in July; His race to lose.. 5th
Exotics Use: #6 English Channel 5-2: Quality 5yo 2/2 this strip, but off-going may not suit so well; Always comes with run, but expect board hit at best.. WON
Super Add: #1 Fri Guy 50-1: Romans-Zayat red will set pace and save ground, and should get little pressure; Has run races close enough to consider as exotics ladder-hanger at bonus tote.. 7th
11th: BC CLASSIC (Gr. I), $5MM, 10f
An edition of this race like few before it: A remarkably well-match group.. Take the one you've enjoyed the most as there appears to be little seperating the 4 excellent sophomores and 4yo Lawyer Ron..
Best Value: #3 Any Given Saturday 4-1: Haskell winner appears right type for this race flow, scenario, course condition..
Most Likely: #4 Curlin 3-1: Pitts, then Asmussen, deserve all the credit for making the most of super-talented Street Cry son; Never worse than third since bow, displayed tenacity in JCGC score and will need to utilize every tool in the box to cap campaign; Frankly rooting against, but looms the one to beat.. WON
Exotics Use: #1 Lawyer Ron 5-2: Magical year for Pletcher's Langfuhr 4yo who may finally have found the right spot to be rank; Gets first run on Hard Spun, but will need to battle others for all the money; Big chance..
Super Add: #2 Street Sense 3-1: Wonderful Nafzger colt is ready, but takes the worst of it under potential scenario of slop; Will be hard to close on this strip, but expect game an effort as possible in career farewell..
P4 Play:
8: 8-11-13-14
9: 6-11-12
10: 7
11: 1-2-3-4
4x3x1x4 = $48
Good luck!
Steve