philcski
05-25-2007, 06:47 PM
Going to roll over anything I can muster up in Texas on the pick 6 @ Hollywood.
Early P4 ideas:
R2) a mess of very bad horses with little or no form; spread and hope for a price. Using the 2,3,4,5,6
R3) the 8 Axis of Evil exits the same race which produced a dynamic winner and a 38-1 3rd place finish last night, drops to MCL's, and lays over this field. An easy single.
R4) "Trial" races are very unique to Lone Star and there's one thing that always plays out. Bet winners vs. firsters. There's only one who has even started in here (the and he was headed midstretch yet came back to win. Unfortunately, he'll be 3/5 but there's no sense in trying to beat him.
R5) cheap claimers going 6F with a couple subtle angles:
1- dropped from stakes to claimers to 10k to 4k n1y, and the figs have been declining. very beatable at 2/1
2- showed good speed in straight 4k's, price play at 20-1
3- turf form ok, dirt form terrible, not worth 7/2
4- consistent type, as in 1 for 23, pencil him in for 4th place
5- no early zip, poor jock, poor trainer
6- old warrior still has enough to be competitive here, 5/2 is reasonable
7- ships in from OK where the competition is much weaker, using at 10-1 or higher
8- badly beaten at big odds repeatedly, pass
9- blocked last out and put in a great late run, would need some serious pace but not the worst flyer on a backup ticket
The play:
2,3,4,5,6/
8/
6/
1,2,6,7,9
$25 for each buck. Double up the 4,5,6/8/6/4,6 combo.
Early P4 ideas:
R2) a mess of very bad horses with little or no form; spread and hope for a price. Using the 2,3,4,5,6
R3) the 8 Axis of Evil exits the same race which produced a dynamic winner and a 38-1 3rd place finish last night, drops to MCL's, and lays over this field. An easy single.
R4) "Trial" races are very unique to Lone Star and there's one thing that always plays out. Bet winners vs. firsters. There's only one who has even started in here (the and he was headed midstretch yet came back to win. Unfortunately, he'll be 3/5 but there's no sense in trying to beat him.
R5) cheap claimers going 6F with a couple subtle angles:
1- dropped from stakes to claimers to 10k to 4k n1y, and the figs have been declining. very beatable at 2/1
2- showed good speed in straight 4k's, price play at 20-1
3- turf form ok, dirt form terrible, not worth 7/2
4- consistent type, as in 1 for 23, pencil him in for 4th place
5- no early zip, poor jock, poor trainer
6- old warrior still has enough to be competitive here, 5/2 is reasonable
7- ships in from OK where the competition is much weaker, using at 10-1 or higher
8- badly beaten at big odds repeatedly, pass
9- blocked last out and put in a great late run, would need some serious pace but not the worst flyer on a backup ticket
The play:
2,3,4,5,6/
8/
6/
1,2,6,7,9
$25 for each buck. Double up the 4,5,6/8/6/4,6 combo.